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Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Yes43¢43%
No57¢57%
$150,750.52 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBloomberg, Reuters, the Associated Press, the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division, the official election authority conducting election
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$150,750.52
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$150,750.52
    Price44¢
    +10.26% today
  • No
    Volume$150,750.52
    Price60¢
    -6.56% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 43% and a Yes contract price of $0.44. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bloomberg, Reuters, the Associated Press, the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division, the official election authority conducting election as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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