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Midterms

Midterms: which party wins white suburban women?

Democratic party95¢95%
Republican party9¢9%
$618.04 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Democratic Party wins white suburban women in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, a party “wins” white suburban women if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes. CNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours. After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceCNN
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$618.04
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Democratic party
    Volume$414.00
    Price95¢
    +5.56% today
  • Republican party
    Volume$204.04
    Price9¢
    +80.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Democratic party
    Volume$414.00
    Price15¢
    -50.00% today
  • Republican party
    Volume$204.04
    Price99¢
    -4.21% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Midterms: which party wins white suburban women?. The leading outcome is Democratic party, with an estimated probability of 95% and a Yes contract price of $0.95. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Midterms: which party wins white suburban women? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Midterms: which party wins white suburban women?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Midterms: which party wins white suburban women? is Nov 6, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using CNN as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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