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Midterms

Closest House race in 2026?

AK-AL——
AL-02——
AZ-02——
$0 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If AK-AL has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. Every U.S. House general election held November 3, 2026 is compared, not only the districts listed here, so if the smallest margin is in an unlisted district every market in this event resolves NO. Special elections to fill a vacancy do NOT count. Votes for a candidate listed on more than one party line are combined. If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceOfficial state election office results, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$0.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • AK-AL
    Volume$0.00
    Price6.4¢
    -100.00% today
  • AL-02
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • AZ-02
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • CO-03
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • CO-04
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • FL-07
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • FL-09
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • FL-13
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • FL-14
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today
  • FL-22
    Volume$0.00
    Price7.3¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • AK-AL
    Volume$0.00
    Price98.9¢
    +4.17% today
  • AL-02
    Volume$0.00
    Price98.9¢
    +4.17% today
  • AZ-02
    Volume$0.00
    Price98.9¢
    +4.17% today
  • CO-03
    Volume$0.00
    Price98.9¢
    +4.17% today
  • CO-04
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today
  • FL-07
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today
  • FL-09
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today
  • FL-13
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today
  • FL-14
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today
  • FL-22
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Closest House race in 2026?. The leading outcome is AK-AL, with an estimated probability of 0% and a Yes contract price of $0.064. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Closest House race in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Closest House race in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Closest House race in 2026? is Jan 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Official state election office results, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Closest House race in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Closest House race in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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