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Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

Montana US Senate85¢85%
New Jersey US Senate21¢21%
$2,207.96 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Montana US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Montana US Senate and New Jersey US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceMontana Secretary of State, New Jersey Division of Elections
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$2,207.96
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Montana US Senate
    Volume$1,807.96
    Price88¢
    +3.66% today
  • New Jersey US Senate
    Volume$400.00
    Price22¢
    +23.53% today

Trade No contracts

  • Montana US Senate
    Volume$1,807.96
    Price22¢
    -16.67% today
  • New Jersey US Senate
    Volume$400.00
    Price88¢
    -4.82% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?. The leading outcome is Montana US Senate, with an estimated probability of 85% and a Yes contract price of $0.88. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey? is Nov 10, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Montana Secretary of State, New Jersey Division of Elections as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

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Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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