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Midterms

Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

Michigan US Senate71¢71%
New Hampshire US Senate22¢22%
$30,149.20 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Michigan US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceMichigan Secretary of State, New Hampshire Secretary of State
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$30,149.20
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • New Hampshire US Senate
    Volume$15,994.94
    Price24¢
    0.00% today
  • Michigan US Senate
    Volume$14,154.26
    Price84¢
    -8.97% today

Trade No contracts

  • New Hampshire US Senate
    Volume$15,994.94
    Price79¢
    0.00% today
  • Michigan US Senate
    Volume$14,154.26
    Price24¢
    +31.82% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?. The leading outcome is Michigan US Senate, with an estimated probability of 71% and a Yes contract price of $0.84. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? is Nov 10, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Michigan Secretary of State, New Hampshire Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

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Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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