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Elections

Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?

Above 30%86¢86%
Above 34%67¢67%
Above 36%57¢57%
$1,568.68 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 30%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the sum of the percentages of all voters shown for "Strongly approve" and "Somewhat approve" on the question asking voters' opinion of Donald Trump as president in the national U.S. House exit poll. If those two figures are not shown separately, the value is the percentage of all voters shown for "Approve" on that question. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC News, CBS News, CNN
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$1,568.68
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 34%
    Volume$829.62
    Price71¢
    +1.52% today
  • Above 36%
    Volume$552.36
    Price57¢
    +9.62% today
  • Above 40%
    Volume$123.24
    Price26¢
    -4.76% today
  • Above 44%
    Volume$26.00
    Price15¢
    -50.00% today
  • Above 42%
    Volume$24.00
    Price21¢
    -12.50% today
  • Above 30%
    Volume$13.46
    Price89¢
    -2.27% today
  • Above 32%
    Volume$0.00
    Price80¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 38%
    Volume$0.00
    Price41¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 46%
    Volume$0.00
    Price10¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 34%
    Volume$829.62
    Price38¢
    -2.94% today
  • Above 36%
    Volume$552.36
    Price53¢
    -10.42% today
  • Above 40%
    Volume$123.24
    Price84¢
    +1.27% today
  • Above 44%
    Volume$26.00
    Price95¢
    +5.56% today
  • Above 42%
    Volume$24.00
    Price89¢
    +2.38% today
  • Above 30%
    Volume$13.46
    Price14¢
    +16.67% today
  • Above 32%
    Volume$0.00
    Price30¢
    +300.00% today
  • Above 38%
    Volume$0.00
    Price69¢
    +56.25% today
  • Above 46%
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +5.26% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?. The leading outcome is Above 30%, with an estimated probability of 86% and a Yes contract price of $0.89. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? is Nov 6, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC News, CBS News, CNN as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?

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