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Midterms

Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

Maine US Senate55¢55%
Texas US Senate46¢46%
$751.30 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Maine US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Maine US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. For ranked-choice elections, the margin is the final-round vote difference between the first- and second-place candidates (the first round if a candidate wins a majority outright) divided by total votes cast in that election, including ballots exhausted before the final round. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceMaine Secretary of State, Texas Secretary of State
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$751.30
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Texas US Senate
    Volume$410.00
    Price52¢
    -2.13% today
  • Maine US Senate
    Volume$341.30
    Price58¢
    +5.77% today

Trade No contracts

  • Texas US Senate
    Volume$410.00
    Price57¢
    +1.89% today
  • Maine US Senate
    Volume$341.30
    Price52¢
    -6.25% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?. The leading outcome is Maine US Senate, with an estimated probability of 55% and a Yes contract price of $0.58. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas? is Dec 7, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Maine Secretary of State, Texas Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

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Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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