Skip to main
  2. Prediction Markets
  3. Elections
  4. How many Florida mail votes will be cast?
Elections

How many Florida mail votes will be cast?

At least 1.2 million99¢99%
At least 1.4 million96¢96%
At least 1.6 million87¢87%
$24,579.60 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab is at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the headline "Mail ballots returned" figure at the top of the Florida page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. This is the tracker's figure at that time, not the final official count, and it may not include ballots received later on Election Day. If the page is unavailable at that time, the accept_all value for Florida in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceUniversity of Florida Election Lab
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$24,579.60
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

  • At least 1.4 million
    Volume$7,688.80
    Price97¢
    0.00% today
  • At least 2.6 million
    Volume$7,536.76
    Price7¢
    -20.00% today
  • At least 1.6 million
    Volume$2,123.04
    Price89¢
    +1.16% today
  • At least 2.4 million
    Volume$2,000.08
    Price8¢
    +25.00% today
  • At least 2.2 million
    Volume$1,740.00
    Price12¢
    +16.67% today
  • At least 1.8 million
    Volume$1,653.66
    Price50¢
    +11.11% today
  • At least 2.1 million
    Volume$1,210.00
    Price14¢
    +63.64% today
  • At least 1.2 million
    Volume$402.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • At least 2 million
    Volume$194.88
    Price18¢
    +92.86% today
  • At least 1.9 million
    Volume$30.38
    Price32¢
    -14.81% today

Trade No contracts

  • At least 1.4 million
    Volume$7,688.80
    Price4¢
    0.00% today
  • At least 2.6 million
    Volume$7,536.76
    Price97¢
    +1.05% today
  • At least 1.6 million
    Volume$2,123.04
    Price19¢
    -7.14% today
  • At least 2.4 million
    Volume$2,000.08
    Price97¢
    -1.04% today
  • At least 2.2 million
    Volume$1,740.00
    Price96¢
    -2.27% today
  • At least 1.8 million
    Volume$1,653.66
    Price60¢
    -9.09% today
  • At least 2.1 million
    Volume$1,210.00
    Price94¢
    -7.87% today
  • At least 1.2 million
    Volume$402.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • At least 2 million
    Volume$194.88
    Price90¢
    -15.12% today
  • At least 1.9 million
    Volume$30.38
    Price77¢
    +5.48% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many Florida mail votes will be cast?. The leading outcome is At least 1.2 million, with an estimated probability of 99% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many Florida mail votes will be cast? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many Florida mail votes will be cast?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many Florida mail votes will be cast? is Nov 4, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using University of Florida Election Lab as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How many Florida mail votes will be cast? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on How many Florida mail votes will be cast?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for How many Florida mail votes will be cast?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
| $10,490.06 Vol.
4
5
Above 5
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
| $4,305.24 Vol.
At least 4
At least 5
At least 6
How many votes will be cast early in the Midterms?
| $228.00 Vol.
At least 54 million
At least 57 million
At least 60 million
How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested?
| $3,173.74 Vol.
At least 1.3 million
At least 1.4 million
At least 1.45 million
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
| $96,829.50 Vol.
Iran war and foreign policy
Health care
Abortion
Midterms: which party wins white women?
| $5,806.58 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?
| $440.94 Vol.
Above 6%
Above 7%
Above 8%
Midterms: which party wins Latino men?
| $2,477.04 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
| $27,164.74 Vol.
Above 8%
Above 9%
Above 10%
Midterms: which party wins older women?
| $162.00 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
| $1,568.68 Vol.
Above 34%
Above 36%
Above 40%
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?
| $410.00 Vol.
Above 40%
Above 30%
Above 26%
Midterms: which party wins independents?
| $12,656.32 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: which party wins white suburban women?
| $618.04 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: which party wins young men?
| $11,194.72 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: which party wins white college-educated men?
| $862.20 Vol.
Democratic party
Republican party
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?
| $1,421.10 Vol.
Above 26%
Above 40%
Above 44%
Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?
| $34,860.34 Vol.
Nebraska US Senate
Kansas US Senate
Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?
| $6,764.82 Vol.
Texas US Senate
Nebraska US Senate
Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?
| $2,207.96 Vol.
Montana US Senate
New Jersey US Senate
Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?
| $4,928.96 Vol.
South Carolina US Senate
Florida US Senate
Will the midterms happen on time?
| $788,670.58 Vol.
Yes
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
| $21,427.02 Vol.
Minnesota US Senate
Mississippi US Senate
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
| $30,149.20 Vol.
Michigan US Senate
New Hampshire US Senate
Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?
| $751.30 Vol.
Maine US Senate
Texas US Senate
Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?
| $680.16 Vol.
Texas US Senate
Alaska US Senate
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?
| $63,633.12 Vol.
2
3
4
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?
| $113,272.60 Vol.
Trump +18 or more
Trump +20 or more
Trump +22 or more
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
| $15,054.30 Vol.
At least 31
At least 35
At least 40
How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
| $309.32 Vol.
12 or more
14 or more
13 or more
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
| $262,797.18 Vol.
Exactly 0
Exactly 1
Exactly 2
How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
| $204.00 Vol.
32 or more
44 or more
36 or more
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
| $129,785.26 Vol.
5 or more
Exactly 4
Exactly 3
How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
| $61,189.08 Vol.
Exactly 2
Exactly 3
Exactly 1
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
$41,727.44 Vol.
Before 4AM Nov 4
Before 1AM Nov 4
Before Nov 4
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
| $538,142.20 Vol.
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Tie
Closest Senate race in 2026?
| $2,392,025.30 Vol.
Kansas
Iowa
Texas
Closest House race in 2026?
| $0.00 Vol.
MI-04
AK-AL
WI-01
Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
| $8,482.00 Vol.
Utah Senate
Kansas House
New Hampshire Senate
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
| $208,412.90 Vol.
At least 194
At least 198
At least 202
Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
| $130.38 Vol.
At least 4%
At least 12%
At least 14%
Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
| $422.76 Vol.
Colorado House
California Senate
Colorado Senate
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
| $4,988.70 Vol.
At least 1
At least 2
At least 3
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
| $98,183.38 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
Kathy Hochul
Keisha Lance Bottoms
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
$5,840.06 Vol.
Before 4AM Nov 4
Before Nov 4
Before 1AM Nov 4
Closest Governor race in 2026?
| $271,980.32 Vol.
Georgia
Nevada
Wisconsin
Blue wave in 2026?
| $4,517,544.86 Vol.
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?
| $49,926.34 Vol.
At least 1
At least 3
At least 15
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
| $21,150.14 Vol.
At least 22
At least 23
At least 24
Blue tsunami in 2026?
| $1,701,612.72 Vol.
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
| $115,015.58 Vol.
Democrats, ≥8%
Democrats, ≥9%
Democrats, ≥10%
How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?
| $3,554.32 Vol.
At least 1
At least 2
At least 3
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
| $10,868.00 Vol.
R+0.9 to D+0.9
D+1 to D+2.9
D+5 to D+6.9
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
| $6,398,917.64 Vol.
Democrats, 8 to 10%
Democrats, 10 to 12%
Democrats, 6 to 8%
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
| $13,087.84 Vol.
Texas
Michigan
Kansas
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins
| $177,095.72 Vol.
Both lose
Both win
Rogers loses, Collins wins
Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
| $89,945.76 Vol.
Ohio (special)
Nebraska
South Carolina
Florida Governor-Senate combo
| $20,452.02 Vol.
Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win
David Jolly and Ashley Moody win
David Jolly and Angie Nixon win
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
| $3,493.64 Vol.
Jim Pillen and Pete Ricketts win
Jim Pillen and Dan Osborn win
Lynne Walz and Dan Osborn win
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
| $23,284.28 Vol.
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Vermont
Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
| $13,750.86 Vol.
Texas
Georgia
Ohio
How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?
| $132,448.24 Vol.
9
8
7
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
| $883,490.70 Vol.
Yes
2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
| $243,923.26 Vol.
115 to 119.99 million
110 to 114.99 million
125 million and above
How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
| $51,739.56 Vol.
5
6
4
How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?
| $73,237.16 Vol.
20
19
21
How many House seats will Democrats win in Georgia?
| $16,125.12 Vol.
5
6
Below 5
How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?
| $70,490.32 Vol.
5
4
Above 7
How many House seats will Democrats win in Illinois?
| $7,972.40 Vol.
14
Above 14
Below 12
How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?
| $46,343.92 Vol.
6
5
7
How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
| $128,721.16 Vol.
11
10
9
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?
| $207,722.66 Vol.
Democratic sweep
Texas, Alaska, Ohio
Republican sweep
Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?
| $150,750.52 Vol.
Yes

Live odds on How many Florida mail votes will be cast?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

How many Florida mail votes will be cast?

Order
Odds
Max payoutBefore fees
$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

© Copyright 2026 Public Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Market data powered by Xignite.

All investments involve the risk of loss and the past performance of a security or a financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. You should consult your legal, tax, or financial advisors before making any financial decisions. This material is not intended as a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to purchase or sell securities, open a brokerage account, or engage in any investment strategy.

Stocks, ETFs, Options, Bonds.
Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
Certain requirements must be met in order to trade options. Options can be risky and are not suitable for all investors. Options transactions are often complex, and investors can rapidly lose the entire amount of their investment or more in a short period of time. Investors should consider their investment objectives and risks carefully before investing in options. Refer to the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before considering any options transaction. Supporting documentation for any claims, if applicable, will be furnished upon request. Tax considerations with options transactions are unique and investors considering options should consult their tax advisor as to how taxes affect the outcome of each options strategy.

Options Order Flow Rebates.
If you are enrolled in our Options Order Flow Rebate Program, Public Investing will share a percentage of our estimated order flow revenue for each completed options trade as a rebate to help reduce your trading costs. Rebate rates vary monthly from $0.06-$0.18 and depend on your current and prior month’s options trading volume. This rebate will be deducted from your cost to place the trade and will be reflected on your trade confirmation. To learn more, see our Options Rebate Program Terms & Conditions, Order Rebate FAQ and Fee Schedule.

Bonds.
“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

Investments in Bonds are subject to various risks including risks related to interest rates, credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. The value of Bonds fluctuate and any investments sold prior to maturity may result in gain or loss of principal. In general, when interest rates go up, Bond prices typically drop, and vice versa. Bonds with higher yields or offered by issuers with lower credit ratings generally carry a higher degree of risk. All fixed income securities are subject to price change and availability, and yield is subject to change. Bond ratings, if provided, are third party opinions on the overall bond's credit worthiness at the time the rating is assigned. Ratings are not recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell securities, and they do not address the market value of securities or their suitability for investment purposes.

A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The Bond Account’s yield is the average, annualized yield to worst (YTW) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees. A bond’s yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate; therefore a bond’s YTW is not “locked in” until the bond is purchased, and your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTW is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTW of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity or if the issuer defaults on the bond. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. See our Fee Schedule.

Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. You should evaluate each bond before investing in a Bond Account. The bonds in your Bond Account will not be rebalanced and allocations will not be updated, except for Corporate Actions.

Fractional Bonds also carry additional risks including that they are only available on Public and cannot be transferred to other brokerages. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds. See Bond Account Disclosures to learn more.

High-Yield Cash Account.
A High-Yield Cash Account is a secondary brokerage account with Public Investing. Funds in your High-Yield Cash Account are automatically deposited into partner banks (“Partner Banks”), where that cash earns interest and is eligible for FDIC insurance. See here for a list of current Partner Banks. Your Annual Percentage Yield is variable and may change at the discretion of the Partner Banks or Public Investing. Apex Clearing and Public Investing receive administrative fees for operating this program, which reduce the amount of interest paid on swept cash. Neither Public Investing nor any of its affiliates is a bank. Learn more.

Cryptocurrency.
Cryptocurrency trading, execution and custody services are provided by Zero Hash LLC (“Zero Hash”). Zero Hash is licensed to engage in a virtual currency business by the New York State Department of Financial Services, and is a licensed money transmitter in all other US states and certain US territories. Zero Hash is not a registered broker-dealer or a member of FINRA. Cryptocurrencies are not stocks and your cryptocurrency investments are not FDIC insured or SIPC protected.

Cryptocurrency investing is highly speculative, involves a high degree of risk, and has the potential for loss of the entire amount of an investment. Cryptocurrencies offered by Zero Hash are not securities and are not FDIC insured or protected by SIPC. Your cryptocurrency assets are held by Zero Hash, not Public. Your Zero Hash Crypto account is separate from your brokerage account with Public Investing, which holds US-listed stocks and ETFs. Please review the Risk Disclosures before trading.

Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

Investments in T-bills: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value.

Banking services and bank accounts are offered by Jiko Bank, a division of Mid-Central National Bank. JSI and Jiko Bank are not affiliated with Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public”) or any of its subsidiaries. None of these entities provide legal, tax, or accounting advice. You should consult your legal, tax, or financial advisors before making any financial decisions. This material is not intended as a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to purchase or sell securities, open a brokerage account, or engage in any investment strategy.

Commission-free trading refers to $0 commissions charged on trades of US listed registered securities placed during the US Markets Regular Trading Hours in self-directed brokerage accounts offered by Public Investing. Keep in mind that other fees such as regulatory fees, Premium subscription fees, commissions on trades during extended trading hours, wire transfer fees, and paper statement fees may apply to your brokerage account. Please see Public’s Investing’s Fee Schedule to learn more.

Fractional shares are illiquid outside of Public and not transferable. For a complete explanation of conditions, restrictions and limitations associated with fractional shares, see our Fractional Share Disclosure to learn more.

Investment Plans. Investment Plans (“Plans”) shown in our marketplace are for informational purposes only and are meant as helpful starting points as you discover, research and create a Plan that meets your specific investing needs. Plans are self-directed purchases of individually-selected assets, which may include stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrency. Plans are not recommendations of a Plan overall or its individual holdings or default allocations. Plans are created using defined, objective criteria based on generally accepted investment theory; they are not based on your needs or risk profile. You are responsible for establishing and maintaining allocations among assets within your Plan. Plans involve continuous investments, regardless of market conditions. Diversification does not eliminate risk. See our Investment Plans Terms and Conditions and Sponsored Content and Conflicts of Interest Disclosure.

Alpha.
Alpha is an experiment brought to you by Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public”). Alpha is an AI research tool powered by GPT-4, a generative large language model. Alpha is experimental technology and may give inaccurate or inappropriate responses. Output from Alpha should not be construed as investment research or recommendations, and should not serve as the basis for any investment decision. All Alpha output is provided “as is.” Public makes no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy, completeness, quality, timeliness, or any other characteristic of such output. Your use of Alpha output is at your sole risk. Please independently evaluate and verify the accuracy of any such output for your own use case.

Market Data.
Quotes and other market data for Public’s product offerings are obtained from third party sources believed to be reliable, but Public makes no representation or warranty regarding the quality, accuracy, timeliness, and/or completeness of this information. Such information is time sensitive and subject to change based on market conditions and other factors. You assume full responsibility for any trading decisions you make based upon the market data provided, and Public is not liable for any loss caused directly or indirectly by your use of such information. Market data is provided solely for informational and/or educational purposes only. It is not intended as a recommendation and does not represent a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any particular security.

View Full Disclosures