Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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If the number of Colorado House of Representatives seats held by Democrats is at least 44 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Democratic Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded. A winner counts as Democratic if the official results show the winner on the Democratic Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Democratic first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceCalifornia Secretary of State, Colorado Secretary of State, Connecticut Secretary of the State, Delaware Department of Elections, Illinois State Board of Elections, Maine Secretary of State, Nevada Secretary of State, New Mexico Secretary of State, New York State Board of Elections, Oregon Secretary of State, Vermont Secretary of State, Washington Secretary of State, the Maryland State Board of Elections
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$422.76
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- Colorado HouseVolume$422.76Price98¢0.00% today
- California AssemblyVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- California SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Colorado SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Connecticut HouseVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Connecticut SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Delaware HouseVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Delaware SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Hawaii SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
- Illinois HouseVolume$0.00Price100¢-100.00% today
Trade No contracts
- Colorado HouseVolume$422.76Price100¢-9.80% today
- California AssemblyVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- California SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Colorado SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Connecticut HouseVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Connecticut SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Delaware HouseVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Delaware SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Hawaii SenateVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
- Illinois HouseVolume$0.00Price100¢+9,900.00% today
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Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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