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Elections

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Georgia18¢18%
Nevada10¢10%
Wisconsin9.7¢10%
$271,980.32 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Georgia has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For yes/no referenda, it's the absolute difference between yes and no percentages. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. If no candidate wins a majority in Georgia and a runoff is held, the margin from the December 1, 2026 runoff is used. If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Georgia
    Volume$29,938.22
    Price18¢
    0.00% today
  • Ohio
    Volume$28,906.64
    Price8.9¢
    -2.22% today
  • Nevada
    Volume$24,078.42
    Price10¢
    0.00% today
  • Iowa
    Volume$23,862.18
    Price2.5¢
    +80.00% today
  • Wisconsin
    Volume$21,679.52
    Price8.7¢
    +21.25% today
  • New York
    Volume$19,146.24
    Price1.9¢
    +100.00% today
  • Texas
    Volume$14,784.12
    Price8¢
    0.00% today
  • Kansas
    Volume$14,589.08
    Price8.9¢
    -11.11% today
  • Arizona
    Volume$12,973.10
    Price1.2¢
    +90.00% today
  • Vermont
    Volume$12,553.50
    Price5¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Georgia
    Volume$29,938.22
    Price83¢
    0.00% today
  • Ohio
    Volume$28,906.64
    Price91.8¢
    +0.22% today
  • Nevada
    Volume$24,078.42
    Price90.1¢
    0.00% today
  • Iowa
    Volume$23,862.18
    Price98.6¢
    -1.63% today
  • Wisconsin
    Volume$21,679.52
    Price96.1¢
    -1.85% today
  • New York
    Volume$19,146.24
    Price99.9¢
    -1.01% today
  • Texas
    Volume$14,784.12
    Price93¢
    0.00% today
  • Kansas
    Volume$14,589.08
    Price91.6¢
    +1.10% today
  • Arizona
    Volume$12,973.10
    Price99.4¢
    -0.91% today
  • Vermont
    Volume$12,553.50
    Price97¢
    0.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Closest Governor race in 2026?. The leading outcome is Georgia, with an estimated probability of 18% and a Yes contract price of $0.18. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Closest Governor race in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Closest Governor race in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Closest Governor race in 2026? is Jan 20, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC News, Ballotpedia, Bloomberg News, CBS News, CNN, FiveThirtyEight, Fox News, NBC News, Politico, Reuters, The New York Times, The Source Agencies are, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, in hierarchical order: the official electoral commissions or secretaries of state for each jurisdiction holding elections within, official government websites of the relevant jurisdictions, official state or local election division websites, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Closest Governor race in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Closest Governor race in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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