Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?

If ALL of the Democratic candidate for Governor of Wisconsin, the Democratic Party in the Wisconsin State Senate, and the Democratic Party in the Wisconsin State Assembly win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Each state market requires the Democratic candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Democratic Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. If two parties have the same number of seats in a chamber, the party entering government will be considered to have won the most seats in that chamber. The party entering government is the party whose member the chamber elects as Speaker of the House or President of the Senate when it convenes for its 2027 session; for the Pennsylvania Senate, it is the party of the Lieutenant Governor elected on November 3, 2026. If the presiding officer is elected under a power-sharing agreement, the party with the higher share of the vote across that chamber’s November 3, 2026 general election races will be considered to have won the most seats.