Prediction Markets
Elections
How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?

At least 165¢65%

At least 250¢50%

At least 343¢43%

1D1W1MAll

$3,554.32 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Feb 3, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 1 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The 18 races counted are: U.S. Senator; Governor; Lieutenant Governor; Attorney General; Comptroller of Public Accounts; Commissioner, General Land Office; Commissioner, Agriculture; Railroad Commissioner; Chief Justice, Supreme Court; Justice, Supreme Court, Place 2 (unexpired term); Justice, Supreme Court, Place 7; Justice, Supreme Court, Place 8; Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 3; Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 4; Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 9; Chief Justice, Fifteenth Court of Appeals; Justice, Fifteenth Court of Appeals, Place 2; and Justice, Fifteenth Court of Appeals, Place 3.

Full contract termsView
SourceTexas Secretary of State
Est. resolution dateFeb 3, 2027
Total event volume$3,554.32
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by February 3, 2027 at 3:00 PM UTC.
1. Sep 15, 2026 at 4:56 PM UTCEvent open
2. Feb 3, 2027 at 3:00 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Feb 3, 2027 at 3:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

At least 2
Volume$2,610.98
Price48¢
+8.70% today
At least 1
Volume$852.40
Price65¢
+6.56% today
At least 3
Volume$65.80
Price38¢
+26.47% today
At least 4
Volume$24.10
Price23¢
+20.00% today
At least 8
Volume$1.04
Price9¢
+50.00% today
At least 12
Volume$0.00
Price7¢
-100.00% today
At least 16
Volume$0.00
Price3¢
-100.00% today

Trade No contracts

At least 2
Volume$2,610.98
Price59¢
-7.41% today
At least 1
Volume$852.40
Price44¢
-10.26% today
At least 3
Volume$65.80
Price71¢
-13.64% today
At least 4
Volume$24.10
Price83¢
-5.00% today
At least 8
Volume$1.04
Price96¢
-3.19% today
At least 12
Volume$0.00
Price98¢
+6.38% today
At least 16
Volume$0.00
Price99¢
+2.04% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?. The leading outcome is At least 1, with an estimated probability of 65% and a Yes contract price of $0.65. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026? is Feb 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Texas Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?

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How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?

Order

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Yes 65%No 35%

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Event estimated to resolve on February 3 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?

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