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How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

1327¢27%
1224¢24%
1116¢16%
$111,525.30 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Democratic party has won exactly 13 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourceofficial electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$111,525.30
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • 13
    Volume$18,948.78
    Price27¢
    +8.00% today
  • 12
    Volume$18,083.92
    Price24¢
    +4.35% today
  • 14 and above
    Volume$15,631.78
    Price14¢
    0.00% today
  • Below 8
    Volume$14,391.34
    Price3.7¢
    +15.00% today
  • 9
    Volume$12,964.16
    Price6.5¢
    +51.67% today
  • 8
    Volume$12,462.32
    Price2¢
    +600.00% today
  • 11
    Volume$9,696.12
    Price21¢
    -15.79% today
  • 10
    Volume$9,346.88
    Price14¢
    -8.33% today

Trade No contracts

  • 13
    Volume$18,948.78
    Price76¢
    -2.67% today
  • 12
    Volume$18,083.92
    Price78¢
    -1.30% today
  • 14 and above
    Volume$15,631.78
    Price87¢
    0.00% today
  • Below 8
    Volume$14,391.34
    Price100¢
    -0.31% today
  • 9
    Volume$12,964.16
    Price94.9¢
    -3.30% today
  • 8
    Volume$12,462.32
    Price100¢
    +9,200.00% today
  • 11
    Volume$9,696.12
    Price83¢
    +3.70% today
  • 10
    Volume$9,346.88
    Price89¢
    +1.14% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?. The leading outcome is 13, with an estimated probability of 27% and a Yes contract price of $0.27. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? is Jan 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

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