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2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

115 to 119.99 million30¢30%
110 to 114.99 million19¢19%
120 to 124.99 million16¢16%
$243,923.26 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourcethe relevant election commission of the country in which takes place
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$243,923.26
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • 125 million and above
    Volume$68,339.42
    Price17¢
    +6.67% today
  • 120 to 124.99 million
    Volume$31,726.62
    Price16¢
    +14.29% today
  • Less than 90 million
    Volume$25,892.98
    Price1.5¢
    -40.00% today
  • 115 to 119.99 million
    Volume$25,618.42
    Price30¢
    +7.14% today
  • 110 to 114.99 million
    Volume$21,725.24
    Price19¢
    +5.56% today
  • 95 to 99.99 million
    Volume$20,757.06
    Price2.8¢
    -60.00% today
  • 90 to 94.99 million
    Volume$20,537.72
    Price2¢
    -40.00% today
  • 100 to 104.99 million
    Volume$17,721.38
    Price9.2¢
    -25.71% today
  • 105 to 109.99 million
    Volume$11,604.42
    Price12¢
    -14.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • 125 million and above
    Volume$68,339.42
    Price86¢
    -1.18% today
  • 120 to 124.99 million
    Volume$31,726.62
    Price86¢
    -2.33% today
  • Less than 90 million
    Volume$25,892.98
    Price99.4¢
    +0.40% today
  • 115 to 119.99 million
    Volume$25,618.42
    Price74¢
    -2.78% today
  • 110 to 114.99 million
    Volume$21,725.24
    Price83¢
    -1.22% today
  • 95 to 99.99 million
    Volume$20,757.06
    Price99.4¢
    +1.22% today
  • 90 to 94.99 million
    Volume$20,537.72
    Price99.5¢
    +0.40% today
  • 100 to 104.99 million
    Volume$17,721.38
    Price94.7¢
    +1.94% today
  • 105 to 109.99 million
    Volume$11,604.42
    Price91.4¢
    +1.56% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?. The leading outcome is 115 to 119.99 million, with an estimated probability of 30% and a Yes contract price of $0.30. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using the relevant election commission of the country in which takes place as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

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