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Midterms

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party77¢77%
Republican Party19¢19%
Tie6.9¢7%
$538,142.20 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourcethe Statistical Review of World Energy
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$538,142.20
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Democratic Party
    Volume$472,236.24
    Price77¢
    +1.32% today
  • Republican Party
    Volume$50,264.40
    Price18¢
    +5.56% today
  • Tie
    Volume$15,641.56
    Price9.1¢
    -13.75% today

Trade No contracts

  • Democratic Party
    Volume$472,236.24
    Price24¢
    -4.17% today
  • Republican Party
    Volume$50,264.40
    Price84¢
    -1.22% today
  • Tie
    Volume$15,641.56
    Price93.1¢
    +1.20% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?. The leading outcome is Democratic Party, with an estimated probability of 77% and a Yes contract price of $0.77. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using the Statistical Review of World Energy as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

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