Prediction Markets
Midterms
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Democratic sweep34¢34%

Texas, Alaska, Ohio26¢26%

Republican sweep8.1¢8%

1D1W1MAll

$207,722.66 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Nov 3, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term (for Ohio, following the November 3, 2026 special election for the remainder of the term ending January 3, 2029), or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.

Full contract termsView
SourceBureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Est. resolution dateNov 3, 2027
Total event volume$207,722.66
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by November 3, 2027 at 3:00 PM UTC.
1. Aug 3, 2026 at 7:15 PM UTCEvent open
2. Nov 3, 2027 at 3:00 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Jan 7, 2027 at 3:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Cabinet members and their immediate staff.
- Federal Reserve Board members and regional Fed presidents.
- Members of Congress and their senior staff.
- White House senior staff and advisors.
- Heads of relevant federal agencies referenced in components.
- Employees of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau.
- Employees with pre-release access to economic data.
- Federal statistical agency employees involved in data compilation.
- Contractors with access to embargoed data.
- Campaign managers and senior campaign staff for referenced candidates.
- Political party leadership if election/appointment components included.
- Judicial clerks if Supreme Court components included.
- Congressional committee staff for relevant committees.
- Journalists with embargo access to referenced data.
- Employees of Source Agencies who cover relevant beats.
- Political polling organization employees if polling components included.
- Foreign government officials involved in treaty/agreement negotiations (if applicable).
- Diplomatic staff with knowledge of agreement timing.
- International organization employees (IMF, World Bank, UN) if relevant.
- Immediate family members of all above categories.
- Household members of prohibited persons.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

Texas, Alaska, Ohio
Volume$26,480.78
Price28¢
0.00% today
Democratic sweep
Volume$25,737.10
Price34¢
+9.68% today
Texas, Alaska
Volume$25,658.58
Price7¢
-10.00% today
Republican sweep
Volume$19,878.72
Price9¢
+15.71% today
Texas, Ohio
Volume$15,762.42
Price7.2¢
-37.50% today
Alaska, Ohio
Volume$15,591.82
Price6.3¢
+3.33% today
Ohio only
Volume$14,566.90
Price6¢
-57.50% today
Alaska, Iowa, Ohio
Volume$11,790.40
Price5.9¢
-30.00% today
Alaska only
Volume$10,466.34
Price6.9¢
-16.67% today
Texas, Iowa, Ohio
Volume$10,445.52
Price3¢
-16.67% today

Trade No contracts

Texas, Alaska, Ohio
Volume$26,480.78
Price74¢
0.00% today
Democratic sweep
Volume$25,737.10
Price70¢
-4.35% today
Texas, Alaska
Volume$25,658.58
Price93.7¢
+0.75% today
Republican sweep
Volume$19,878.72
Price91.9¢
-1.18% today
Texas, Ohio
Volume$15,762.42
Price97.5¢
+1.56% today
Alaska, Ohio
Volume$15,591.82
Price93.8¢
-0.21% today
Ohio only
Volume$14,566.90
Price98.3¢
+2.40% today
Alaska, Iowa, Ohio
Volume$11,790.40
Price97.2¢
+1.25% today
Alaska only
Volume$10,466.34
Price95¢
+1.06% today
Texas, Iowa, Ohio
Volume$10,445.52
Price97.5¢
+0.52% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?. The leading outcome is Democratic sweep, with an estimated probability of 34% and a Yes contract price of $0.34. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Board of Governors as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

1
Create a Public account
Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.
2
Fund your account
Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.
3
Buy and sell event contracts
Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.
4
Manage your portfolio
Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Nov 3 at 2:59 PM UTC | $10,490.06 Vol.

Above 5

Nov 3 at 2:59 PM UTC | $4,305.24 Vol.

At least 4

At least 5

At least 6

Nov 4 at 2:59 PM UTC | $228.00 Vol.

At least 54 million

At least 57 million

At least 60 million

Nov 4 at 2:59 PM UTC | $3,173.74 Vol.

At least 1.3 million

At least 1.4 million

At least 1.45 million

Nov 4 at 2:59 PM UTC | $24,579.60 Vol.

At least 1.8 million

At least 2 million

At least 1.9 million

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $96,829.50 Vol.

Iran war and foreign policy

Health care

Abortion

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $5,806.58 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $440.94 Vol.

Above 6%

Above 7%

Above 8%

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $2,477.04 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $27,164.74 Vol.

Above 8%

Above 9%

Above 10%

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $162.00 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $1,568.68 Vol.

Above 34%

Above 36%

Above 40%

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $410.00 Vol.

Above 40%

Above 30%

Above 26%

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $12,656.32 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $618.04 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $11,194.72 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $862.20 Vol.

Democratic party

Republican party

Nov 6 at 4:59 PM UTC | $1,421.10 Vol.

Above 26%

Above 40%

Above 44%

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $34,860.34 Vol.

Nebraska US Senate

Kansas US Senate

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $6,764.82 Vol.

Texas US Senate

Nebraska US Senate

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $2,207.96 Vol.

Montana US Senate

New Jersey US Senate

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $4,928.96 Vol.

South Carolina US Senate

Florida US Senate

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $788,670.58 Vol.

Yes

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $21,427.02 Vol.

Minnesota US Senate

Mississippi US Senate

Nov 10 at 3 PM UTC | $30,149.20 Vol.

Michigan US Senate

New Hampshire US Senate

Dec 7 at 3 PM UTC | $751.30 Vol.

Maine US Senate

Texas US Senate

Dec 7 at 3 PM UTC | $680.16 Vol.

Texas US Senate

Alaska US Senate

Dec 15 at 2:59 PM UTC | $63,633.12 Vol.

Dec 15 at 2:59 PM UTC | $113,272.60 Vol.

Trump +18 or more

Trump +20 or more

Trump +22 or more

Dec 15 at 2:59 PM UTC | $15,054.30 Vol.

At least 31

At least 35

At least 40

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $309.32 Vol.

12 or more

14 or more

13 or more

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $262,797.18 Vol.

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

Exactly 2

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $204.00 Vol.

32 or more

44 or more

36 or more

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $129,785.26 Vol.

5 or more

Exactly 4

Exactly 3

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $61,189.08 Vol.

Exactly 2

Exactly 3

Exactly 1

$41,727.44 Vol.

Before 4AM Nov 4

Before 1AM Nov 4

Before Nov 4

Jan 1, 2027 | $538,142.20 Vol.

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Tie

Jan 3, 2027 | $2,392,025.30 Vol.

Kansas

Iowa

Texas

Jan 3, 2027 | $0.00 Vol.

MI-04

AK-AL

WI-01

Jan 3, 2027 | $8,482.00 Vol.

Utah Senate

Kansas House

New Hampshire Senate

Jan 3, 2027 | $208,412.90 Vol.

At least 194

At least 198

At least 202

Jan 3, 2027 | $130.38 Vol.

At least 4%

At least 12%

At least 14%

Jan 3, 2027 | $422.76 Vol.

Colorado House

California Senate

Colorado Senate

Jan 3, 2027 | $4,988.70 Vol.

At least 1

At least 2

At least 3

Jan 4, 2027 | $98,183.38 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan

Kathy Hochul

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$5,840.06 Vol.

Before 4AM Nov 4

Before Nov 4

Before 1AM Nov 4

Jan 20, 2027 | $271,980.32 Vol.

Georgia

Nevada

Wisconsin

Feb 1, 2027 | $4,179.34 Vol.

Yes

Feb 1, 2027 | $4,517,544.86 Vol.

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

Feb 1, 2027 | $49,926.34 Vol.

At least 1

At least 3

At least 15

Feb 1, 2027 | $21,150.14 Vol.

At least 22

At least 23

At least 24

Feb 1, 2027 | $1,701,612.72 Vol.

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

Feb 3, 2027 | $115,015.58 Vol.

Democrats, ≥8%

Democrats, ≥9%

Democrats, ≥10%

Feb 3, 2027 | $3,554.32 Vol.

At least 1

At least 2

At least 3

Mar 1, 2027 | $10,868.00 Vol.

R+0.9 to D+0.9

D+1 to D+2.9

D+5 to D+6.9

Nov 3, 2027 | $6,398,917.64 Vol.

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Democrats, 6 to 8%

Nov 3, 2027 | $13,087.84 Vol.

Texas

Michigan

Kansas

Nov 3, 2027 | $177,095.72 Vol.

Both lose

Both win

Rogers loses, Collins wins

Nov 3, 2027 | $89,945.76 Vol.

Ohio (special)

Nebraska

South Carolina

Nov 3, 2027 | $20,452.02 Vol.

Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Angie Nixon win

Nov 3, 2027 | $3,493.64 Vol.

Jim Pillen and Pete Ricketts win

Jim Pillen and Dan Osborn win

Lynne Walz and Dan Osborn win

Nov 3, 2027 | $15,383.94 Vol.

Yes

Nov 3, 2027 | $14,877.90 Vol.

Yes

Nov 3, 2027 | $21,314.92 Vol.

Yes

Nov 3, 2027 | $23,284.28 Vol.

Pennsylvania

Nevada

Vermont

Nov 3, 2027 | $13,750.86 Vol.

Texas

Georgia

Ohio

Nov 3, 2027 | $132,448.24 Vol.

Nov 3, 2027 | $883,490.70 Vol.

Yes

Nov 3, 2027 | $243,923.26 Vol.

115 to 119.99 million

110 to 114.99 million

125 million and above

Nov 3, 2027 | $51,739.56 Vol.

Nov 3, 2027 | $73,237.16 Vol.

Nov 3, 2027 | $16,125.12 Vol.

Below 5

Nov 3, 2027 | $70,490.32 Vol.

Above 7

Nov 3, 2027 | $7,972.40 Vol.

Above 14

Below 12

Nov 3, 2027 | $17,986.12 Vol.

Yes

Nov 3, 2027 | $46,343.92 Vol.

Nov 3, 2027 | $128,721.16 Vol.

Nov 3, 2027 | $150,750.52 Vol.

Yes

Live odds on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Order

Odds

Yes 34%No 66%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on November 3 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Trade prediction markets with AI Agents

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

About

Trade Yes contracts

Trade No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How to trade the odds on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Live odds on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Prediction Markets Glossary

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

About

Trade Yes contracts

Trade No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds and probabilities for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

How can I trade this prediction market on Public: Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

How do event contracts work for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

When and how will the prediction market resolve for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Can I automate prediction market trading on Public for Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

How to trade the odds on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Related events

Live odds on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Prediction Markets Glossary