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Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Yes99¢99%
No1¢1%
$649,728.42 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters. Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution). The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$649,728.42
    Price99¢
    +2.06% today
  • No
    Volume$649,728.42
    Price4.9¢
    -66.67% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 99% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot? is Nov 5, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC News, ABC News Australia, Al Jazeera English, BBC News, Bloomberg News, CBS News, CNN, Channel NewsAsia, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, France 24 English, NBC News, NHK World-Japan, Politico, Reuters, The Globe and Mail, The Guardian, The New York Times, The South China Morning Post, The Times of India, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, local newspapers of record in the relevant jurisdictions, official government websites for area, relevant Secretary of State office, relevant supranational/federal/state/provincial/local election authority for area, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

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