Will Alani Bankhead drop out?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. "Dropped out" means any of the following: Alani Bankhead announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Alani Bankhead files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Alani Bankhead publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Alani Bankhead endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Alani Bankhead is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter "Suspending" a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Alani Bankhead explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party's primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Alani Bankhead for Senate, Axios, CBS, CNN, Federal Election Commission, Fox News, MSNBC, Montana Secretary of State, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$10,798.24
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes and No contracts
- YesVolume$10,798.24Price12¢+25.00% today
- NoVolume$10,798.24Price95¢-2.17% today
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Will Alani Bankhead drop out?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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