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  4. Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?
Elections

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?

Yes20¢20%
No80¢80%
$32,730.38 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Donald Trump publicly endorses Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Brazilian presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2026 Brazilian presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$32,730.38
    Price17¢
    +11.11% today
  • No
    Volume$32,730.38
    Price86¢
    -2.44% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 20% and a Yes contract price of $0.17. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? is Oct 26, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Politico EU, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, official campaign announcements from, official social media accounts controlled by, official statements from organizations where holds a leadership position, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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