Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If Donald Trump publicly endorses J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Politico EU, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, official campaign announcements from , official social media accounts controlled by , official statements from organizations where holds a leadership position, the Associated Press
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$98,077.36
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- J.D. VanceVolume$29,078.68Price49¢-2.08% today
- Marco RubioVolume$28,453.56Price32¢+23.08% today
- HimselfVolume$14,525.04Price6¢+50.00% today
- No oneVolume$14,058.80Price11¢+10.00% today
- Donald J. Trump Jr.Volume$8,581.48Price6¢+500.00% today
- Ron DeSantisVolume$3,379.80Price2¢-50.00% today
Trade No contracts
- J.D. VanceVolume$29,078.68Price54¢+1.92% today
- Marco RubioVolume$28,453.56Price73¢-8.11% today
- HimselfVolume$14,525.04Price97¢-2.08% today
- No oneVolume$14,058.80Price91¢-1.11% today
- Donald J. Trump Jr.Volume$8,581.48Price98¢-20.83% today
- Ron DeSantisVolume$3,379.80Price99¢+1.02% today
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Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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