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  4. Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?
Elections

Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?

Yes1¢1%
No99¢99%
$14.12 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the difference between the number of Yes votes for California Proposition 42 and the number of Yes votes for California Proposition 40 is above 0 as measured in the November 3, 2026 California general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The number of Yes votes for each proposition is the statewide total of Yes votes reported for that proposition in the Statement of Vote certified by the California Secretary of State. If the two totals are exactly equal, the market resolves to No.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceCalifornia Secretary of State
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$14.12
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$14.12
    Price98¢
    -98.00% today
  • No
    Volume$14.12
    Price98¢
    +98.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 1% and a Yes contract price of $0.98. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40? is Dec 11, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using California Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?

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Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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