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Elections

Who will run for public office in 2026?

Casey DeSantis4¢4%
Joe Kent2.1¢2%
Matthew McConaughey1.5¢2%
$250,869.90 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Casey DeSantis has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$250,869.90
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Mark Cuban
    Volume$62,834.16
    Price1.3¢
    +20.00% today
  • Matthew McConaughey
    Volume$53,612.44
    Price3.9¢
    -50.00% today
  • Casey DeSantis
    Volume$37,684.04
    Price5¢
    +300.00% today
  • Paul Finebaum
    Volume$31,613.24
    Price5.2¢
    0.00% today
  • Glenn Youngkin
    Volume$17,643.50
    Price5.1¢
    0.00% today
  • Matt Gaetz
    Volume$13,870.92
    Price6¢
    -66.67% today
  • Jake Paul
    Volume$13,476.12
    Price4.1¢
    -63.33% today
  • Danica Patrick
    Volume$12,276.66
    Price6.5¢
    -75.00% today
  • Joe Kent
    Volume$6,620.22
    Price5.4¢
    -30.00% today
  • Nicki Minaj
    Volume$1,238.60
    Price6.1¢
    -72.50% today

Trade No contracts

  • Mark Cuban
    Volume$62,834.16
    Price98.9¢
    -0.20% today
  • Matthew McConaughey
    Volume$53,612.44
    Price98.5¢
    +1.55% today
  • Casey DeSantis
    Volume$37,684.04
    Price98.1¢
    +9,500.00% today
  • Paul Finebaum
    Volume$31,613.24
    Price99¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Glenn Youngkin
    Volume$17,643.50
    Price99¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Matt Gaetz
    Volume$13,870.92
    Price99¢
    +2.06% today
  • Jake Paul
    Volume$13,476.12
    Price98.9¢
    +1.96% today
  • Danica Patrick
    Volume$12,276.66
    Price98.9¢
    +3.13% today
  • Joe Kent
    Volume$6,620.22
    Price98.9¢
    +0.93% today
  • Nicki Minaj
    Volume$1,238.60
    Price98.9¢
    +3.02% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will run for public office in 2026?. The leading outcome is Casey DeSantis, with an estimated probability of 4% and a Yes contract price of $0.05. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Who will run for public office in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will run for public office in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will run for public office in 2026? is Nov 3, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Who will run for public office in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Who will run for public office in 2026?

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Who will run for public office in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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