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Elections

Nevada State Assembly winner?

Democratic party94¢94%
Republican party5¢5%
$5,556.36 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Democratic party wins the Nevada Assembly in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Assembly is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceThe New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$5,556.36
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Holders of statewide public office.
    • Paid campaign staffers on legislative campaigns.
    • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
    • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of legislative campaigns.
    • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs"
    • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
    • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations
    • All staff of <state> Legislature and its members.
    • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
    • All staff of the Office of the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of <state>
    • All staff of the Office of the Secretary of State of <state>.
    • All staff of the <state> court system and its judges.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Democratic party
    Volume$4,804.26
    Price95¢
    0.00% today
  • Republican party
    Volume$752.10
    Price4¢
    +25.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Democratic party
    Volume$4,804.26
    Price6¢
    0.00% today
  • Republican party
    Volume$752.10
    Price97¢
    -1.04% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Nevada State Assembly winner?. The leading outcome is Democratic party, with an estimated probability of 94% and a Yes contract price of $0.95. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Nevada State Assembly winner? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Nevada State Assembly winner?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Nevada State Assembly winner? is Feb 15, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using The New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Nevada State Assembly winner? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Nevada State Assembly winner?

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on Nevada State Assembly winner?

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Nevada State Assembly winner?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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