Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, James Fishback, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times
- Est. resolution date—
- Total event volume$14.80
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- Before Jan 1, 2027Volume$14.80Price29¢-20.00% today
- Before Jul 1, 2027Volume$0.00Price45¢-100.00% today
Trade No contracts
- Before Jan 1, 2027Volume$14.80Price80¢+6.67% today
- Before Jul 1, 2027Volume$0.00Price65¢+66.67% today
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Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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