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Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez25¢25%
Bernie Sanders——
No one——
$811.52 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the candidate's election in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, made after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028. The statement must be public (not private communications) and must specifically reference that race or be clearly in context of it. The endorsement must come directly from DSA or through its official channels. The following scenarios would resolve to YES: DSA states that it endorses the candidate for president DSA states that it supports the candidate, with clear reference to the race DSA releases an official endorsement through its national channels DSA allows its name or logo to be used in the candidate's campaign materials Positive comments without explicit support, or policy endorsements without a candidate endorsement, do not qualify. Ranking a candidate anything other than first in a ranked-choice process does not qualify, and publication of poll or ranked-choice results, whether national or chapter-level, is not itself an endorsement; only the resulting decision of the national organization qualifies. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Statements of obvious sarcasm, or which are immediately followed by clarifications that DSA is joking, are not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Only the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization satisfies the Payout Criterion, acting through its national governing bodies or processes and announced through DSA's national channels. Qualifying decisions include a resolution or vote of the DSA National Convention, a decision of the National Political Committee, and a binding vote of the national membership. An endorsement, chapter poll result, or statement of support from a local or state DSA chapter, caucus, or working group does not qualify unless the national organization adopts it. A statement that a candidate has or will have DSA's endorsement qualifies if the only condition attached is that the candidate enter or remain in the race. A statement conditioned on anything else, such as winning a primary or adopting a policy position, does not. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement. If DSA endorses more than one listed candidate, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves Yes at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01, and all non-endorsed named-candidate strikes resolve No. If no qualifying endorsement occurs before Mar 1, 2028, the "No one" strike resolves Yes and every named-candidate strike resolves No. An endorsement of a candidate who is not listed resolves every market No. If a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, declines to enter, or loses the primary or general election for the race before a qualifying endorsement of that candidate is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceDemocratic Socialists of America
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$811.52
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    Volume$811.52
    Price33¢
    -13.79% today
  • Bernie Sanders
    Volume$0.00
    Price6¢
    -100.00% today
  • No one
    Volume$0.00
    Price50¢
    -100.00% today
  • Rashida Tlaib
    Volume$0.00
    Price11¢
    -100.00% today
  • Ro Khanna
    Volume$0.00
    Price11¢
    -100.00% today
  • Shawn Fain
    Volume$0.00
    Price11¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    Volume$811.52
    Price75¢
    +5.63% today
  • Bernie Sanders
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    +3.09% today
  • No one
    Volume$0.00
    Price59¢
    +81.82% today
  • Rashida Tlaib
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    +6.38% today
  • Ro Khanna
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    +6.38% today
  • Shawn Fain
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    +6.38% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?. The leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, with an estimated probability of 25% and a Yes contract price of $0.33. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? is Mar 1, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Democratic Socialists of America as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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