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Elections

Next Senate Democratic Leader?

Chuck Schumer82¢82%
Chris Murphy9.9¢10%
Brian Schatz8.2¢8%
$287,005.44 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Chuck Schumer wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Chris Murphy
    Volume$73,186.44
    Price11¢
    +10.00% today
  • Chuck Schumer
    Volume$57,957.72
    Price82¢
    +2.50% today
  • Brian Schatz
    Volume$48,866.60
    Price8.5¢
    +17.14% today
  • Chris Van Hollen
    Volume$39,971.28
    Price5.8¢
    +2.00% today
  • Tammy Baldwin
    Volume$20,672.00
    Price1¢
    -90.00% today
  • Patty Murray
    Volume$18,477.96
    Price2.5¢
    0.00% today
  • Amy Klobuchar
    Volume$12,946.80
    Price1.9¢
    -90.00% today
  • Cory Booker
    Volume$8,333.10
    Price1.6¢
    0.00% today
  • Raphael Warnock
    Volume$3,988.00
    Price1.7¢
    -90.00% today
  • Jon Ossoff
    Volume$1,497.66
    Price1¢
    -90.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Chris Murphy
    Volume$73,186.44
    Price95.8¢
    -2.07% today
  • Chuck Schumer
    Volume$57,957.72
    Price21¢
    -10.00% today
  • Brian Schatz
    Volume$48,866.60
    Price94.9¢
    -1.29% today
  • Chris Van Hollen
    Volume$39,971.28
    Price94.9¢
    -0.11% today
  • Tammy Baldwin
    Volume$20,672.00
    Price99.9¢
    +9,890.00% today
  • Patty Murray
    Volume$18,477.96
    Price98¢
    0.00% today
  • Amy Klobuchar
    Volume$12,946.80
    Price99.9¢
    +0.91% today
  • Cory Booker
    Volume$8,333.10
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • Raphael Warnock
    Volume$3,988.00
    Price99.9¢
    +0.91% today
  • Jon Ossoff
    Volume$1,497.66
    Price99.9¢
    +9,890.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Next Senate Democratic Leader?. The leading outcome is Chuck Schumer, with an estimated probability of 82% and a Yes contract price of $0.82. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Next Senate Democratic Leader? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Next Senate Democratic Leader?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Next Senate Democratic Leader? is Dec 31, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using constitutional court, in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission, or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Next Senate Democratic Leader? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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Live odds on Next Senate Democratic Leader?

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Next Senate Democratic Leader?

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