Prediction Markets
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Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

Yes7¢7%

No93¢93%

1D1W1MAll

$97,446.68 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Mar 31, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the National Park Service reports that Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 5 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits figure published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program for Yellowstone National Park. Preliminary monthly or year-to-date figures will not be used for final resolution.

Full contract termsView
SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
Est. resolution dateMar 31, 2027
Total event volume$97,446.68
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by March 31, 2027 at 3:29 PM UTC.
1. Aug 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Mar 31, 2027 at 3:29 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Apr 7, 2027 at 4:00 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

Yes
Volume$97,446.68
Price7¢
+16.67% today
No
Volume$97,446.68
Price94¢
-1.06% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?. The outcome is Above 5 million, with an estimated probability of 7% and a Yes contract price of $0.07. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026? is Mar 31, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

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Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

Order

Odds

Yes 7%No 93%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on March 31 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

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Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

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Live odds on Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

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