Prediction Markets
Economics
Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

Yes24¢24%

No76¢76%

1D1W1MAll

$17,466.86 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Nov 5 at 10:29 AM UTC. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Artificial Intelligence is the reason with the highest number of job cuts in Table 4: Job Cuts by Reason in the Challenger, Gray & Christmas Job Cut Announcement Report for October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “AI” refers to the row labeled “Artificial Intelligence” in Table 4. The market will use the initially published October 2026 Challenger Job Cut Announcement Report, regardless of later revisions, corrections, or updates. If Artificial Intelligence is tied for the highest number of job cuts among reasons in Table 4, the market resolves to Yes.

Full contract termsView
SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
Est. resolution dateNov 5, 2026
Total event volume$17,466.86
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by November 5, 2026 at 10:29 AM UTC.
1. Oct 1, 2026 at 3:45 PM UTCEvent open
2. Nov 5, 2026 at 10:29 AM UTCEvent closed
3. Nov 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

Yes
Volume$17,466.86
Price24¢
+20.00% today
No
Volume$17,466.86
Price83¢
-5.00% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?. The outcome is AI #1?, with an estimated probability of 24% and a Yes contract price of $0.24. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October? is Nov 5, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

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Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

Order

Odds

Yes 24%No 76%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on November 5 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

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Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

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Live odds on Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?

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