Prediction Markets
Economics
Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Yes16¢16%

No84¢84%

1D1W1MAll

$45,348.10 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Dec 4 at 1:29 PM UTC. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If, in any of the remaining Employment Situation releases published after Issuance in calendar year 2026, the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, is below 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers only Employment Situation releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The relevant statistic is the BLS unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, series LNS14024887. FRED series LNS14024887 may be used as a reference source.

Full contract termsView
SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
Est. resolution dateDec 4, 2026
Total event volume$45,348.10
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by December 4, 2026 at 1:29 PM UTC.
1. Apr 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Dec 4, 2026 at 1:29 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Dec 11, 2026 at 3:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

Yes
Volume$45,348.10
Price17¢
0.00% today
No
Volume$45,348.10
Price84¢
0.00% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 16% and a Yes contract price of $0.17. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026? is Dec 4, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

1
Create a Public account
Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.
2
Fund your account
Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.
3
Buy and sell event contracts
Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.
4
Manage your portfolio
Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Oct 24 at 10:59 AM UTC | $8.00 Vol.

At least 2,700,000 passengers

At least 2,200,000 passengers

At least 2,100,000 passengers

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $13,034.62 Vol.

Above 2.5 million

Above 2.8 million

Above 2.6 million

Oct 28 at 12:29 PM UTC | $19,805.72 Vol.

Above -0.56

Above -0.52

Above -0.50

Oct 28 at 3:55 PM UTC | $15,128.08 Vol.

Above 2.1%

Above 2.3%

Above 2.2%

Oct 29 at 12:25 PM UTC | $2,903.82 Vol.

At least 200,000

At least 215,000

At least 205,000

Oct 29 at 12:29 PM UTC | $422.00 Vol.

At least 1760K

At least 1710K

At least 1700K

Oct 30 at 7:50 AM UTC | $2,287.42 Vol.

Above 6.3%

Above 6.4%

Above 6.5%

Oct 30 at 11:55 AM UTC | $3,284.00 Vol.

Above 5.1%

Above 5.2%

Above 5.6%

Nov 1 at 1:29 PM UTC | $22,714.22 Vol.

Above $145 billion

Above $150 billion

Above $160 billion

Nov 3 at 2:59 PM UTC | $636.12 Vol.

Above 0.8%

Above 1.8%

Above 2.4%

Nov 3 at 2:59 PM UTC | $735.82 Vol.

Above 7.20M

Above 7.30M

Above 7.35M

Nov 3 at 3:59 PM UTC | $15,662.58 Vol.

Above 5.4%

Above 5.6%

Above 5.8%

Nov 4 at 1:14 PM UTC | $10,501.24 Vol.

Above 25000

Above 50000

Above 75000

Nov 5 at 10:29 AM UTC | $7,983.32 Vol.

Above 50,000

Above 60,000

Above 70,000

Nov 5 at 10:29 AM UTC | $17,466.86 Vol.

AI #1?

Nov 6 at 1:25 PM UTC | $9,069.46 Vol.

Above 6.4%

Above 6.5%

Above 6.6%

Nov 6 at 1:29 PM UTC | $314,888.98 Vol.

Above 4.1%

Above 4.2%

Above 4.3%

Nov 6 at 1:29 PM UTC | $270,886.10 Vol.

Above 50,000

Above 60,000

Above 70,000

Nov 6 at 1:29 PM UTC | $2,217.36 Vol.

U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k

U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k

U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above

Nov 6 at 1:29 PM UTC | $252.18 Vol.

Above -100,000

Above 0

Above 50,000

Nov 6 at 1:29 PM UTC | $336.00 Vol.

Above 0.2%

Above 0.3%

Above 0.4%

Nov 6 at 1:29 PM UTC | $86,710.54 Vol.

Exactly 4.2%

Exactly 4.1%

Exactly 4.3%

Nov 6 at 2:29 PM UTC | $2,058.22 Vol.

Above 2.440 million

Above 2.480 million

Above 2.520 million

Nov 10 at 9:55 AM UTC | $37,321.66 Vol.

Above 32.0%

Above 32.5%

Above 33.0%

Nov 16 at 2:55 AM UTC | $20,612.20 Vol.

Above 5.0%

Above 5.1%

Above 5.2%

Nov 16 at 4:59 AM UTC | $2,948.72 Vol.

Below 52.3%

Nov 17 at 1:25 PM UTC | $370.64 Vol.

Above -0.2%

Above 0.0%

Above 0.4%

Nov 18 at 11:59 AM UTC | $101.98 Vol.

Above -2.0%

Above -1.5%

Above -0.5%

Nov 19 at 12:30 AM UTC | $21.66 Vol.

Above 4.6%

Above 5.1%

Above 4.4%

Nov 19 at 2:59 PM UTC | $82.44 Vol.

Above -0.4%

Above 0.1%

Above -0.2%

Nov 20 at 6:59 AM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

Above -0.5%

Above 0.5%

Above 0.0%

Nov 26 at 12:55 PM UTC | $13,362.76 Vol.

Above 2.6%

Above 2.8%

Above 3.0%

Nov 30 at 3:29 PM UTC | $5,256.64 Vol.

Above 2.80%

Above 2.81%

Above 2.82%

Dec 2 at 4:59 AM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

GivingTuesday Record Broken

Dec 2 at 1:14 PM UTC | $2,199.92 Vol.

Above 25000

Above 50000

Above 75000

Dec 2 at 2:59 PM UTC | $60,930.52 Vol.

Above 7,542 jobs

Dec 4 at 1:29 PM UTC | $29,003.00 Vol.

Exactly 4.2%

Exactly 4.1%

Exactly 4.6%

Dec 4 at 1:29 PM UTC | $14,583.74 Vol.

Above 50,000

Above 60,000

Above 70,000

Dec 4 at 1:29 PM UTC | $46,363.98 Vol.

Above 4.4%

Above 4.1%

Above 4.2%

Dec 4 at 3 PM UTC | $31,103.84 Vol.

Between 43 and 48.99 million

Between 37 and 42.99 million

Between 49 and 55 million

Dec 18 at 2:55 PM UTC | $9,990.28 Vol.

Yes

Jan 1, 2027 | $2,674.32 Vol.

Above 20%

Above 40%

Above 30%

Jan 1, 2027 | $2,132.32 Vol.

Above 10%

Above 20%

Above 30%

Jan 8, 2027 | $1,621,478.06 Vol.

Above 4.5%

Above 17%

Above 4.8%

Jan 8, 2027 | $6,734.60 Vol.

Yes

Jan 8, 2027 | $16,095.86 Vol.

Above 4.0%

Above 4.5%

Above 5.5%

Jan 8, 2027 | $33,159.86 Vol.

Above 550,000 jobs

Above 450,000 jobs

Above 500,000 jobs

Jan 8, 2027 | $8,739.18 Vol.

61.5% to 61.9%

61.0% to 61.4%

60.5% to 60.9%

Jan 8, 2027 | $39,138.90 Vol.

Above 61.00%

Above 61.50%

Above 62.00%

Jan 13, 2027 | $313,637.56 Vol.

Overheating

Soft landing

Stagflation

Jan 13, 2027 | $4,128.78 Vol.

Above 0.0%

Jan 29, 2027 | $2,197.34 Vol.

Below 2.0%

Jan 29, 2027 | $14,983.52 Vol.

4.0% or Above

3.0% to 3.4%

Below 2.5%

Jan 29, 2027 | $63,704.06 Vol.

Above 5.4 million TEUs

Above 5.6 million TEUs

Above 5.8 million TEUs

Jan 29, 2027 | $47,434.44 Vol.

Above $21.7531 billion

Jan 29, 2027 | $186,842.74 Vol.

Above 500,000 TEUs

Above 525,000 TEUs

Above 550,000 TEUs

Jan 31, 2027 | $2,950.00 Vol.

Below 18.0%

Jan 31, 2027 | $80,511.78 Vol.

Above 9.6 million

Above 9.8 million

Above 10.0 million

Jan 31, 2027 | $102,009.76 Vol.

Above 2.3 million TEUs

Above 2.4 million TEUs

Above 2.5 million TEUs

Jan 31, 2027 | $31,554.94 Vol.

Above 1,113,309 TEUs

Jan 31, 2027 | $101,334.92 Vol.

Above 3.15 million TEUs

Above 3.25 million TEUs

Above 3.45 million TEUs

Feb 4, 2027 | $3,442.76 Vol.

Below $150B

Feb 5, 2027 | $6,113.28 Vol.

Above $1.88 trillion

Above $1.86 trillion

Above $1.90 trillion

Feb 23, 2027 | $61,852.52 Vol.

Decline greater than 20%

Feb 26, 2027 | $430,912.10 Vol.

Above 140 million

Above 142 million

Above 144 million

Feb 26, 2027 | $139,486.30 Vol.

Above 143.33 million visitors

Feb 28, 2027 | $486,675.54 Vol.

Above 8.7 million TEUs

Above 8.8 million TEUs

Above 8.9 million TEUs

Feb 28, 2027 | $586.00 Vol.

Above 53,600 jobs

Feb 28, 2027 | $908,133.20 Vol.

Above 255,000 jobs

Above 260,000 jobs

Above 265,000 jobs

Mar 4, 2027 | $105,001.16 Vol.

Above 3%

Mar 4, 2027 | $40,405.82 Vol.

More than 100,000

More than 200,000

More than 150,000

Mar 12, 2027 | $22,528.34 Vol.

Above 3,305,512

Mar 31, 2027 | $141,098.24 Vol.

Above 70 million pounds

Above 75 million pounds

Above 80 million pounds

Mar 31, 2027 | $19,230.02 Vol.

Above 120,800 jobs

Mar 31, 2027 | $383,170.18 Vol.

Above $250,000

Above $275,000

Above $300,000

Mar 31, 2027 | $45,078.12 Vol.

Above 26,500 jobs

Mar 31, 2027 | $39,601.74 Vol.

Above 26,400 jobs

Mar 31, 2027 | $37,152.48 Vol.

Below 5.8%

Mar 31, 2027 | $97,446.68 Vol.

Above 5 million

Mar 31, 2027 | $10,917.08 Vol.

Below 3.5%

Mar 31, 2027 | $233,043.78 Vol.

Above 2.0 million

Above 2.1 million

Above 2.2 million

Apr 30, 2027 | $28,097.30 Vol.

Above 26.0 thousand employees

Apr 30, 2027 | $3,711.48 Vol.

Above 5,100 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $24,455.20 Vol.

Above 84,856,018 passengers

Apr 30, 2027 | $42,190.20 Vol.

Above 156,600 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $30,696.00 Vol.

Above 18,200 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $26,866.02 Vol.

Above 30,300 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $7,624.00 Vol.

Above 230,400 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $96,645.94 Vol.

Above 280,500 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $364,706.96 Vol.

Above 550,000 jobs

Above 555,000 jobs

Above 560,000 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $45,997.44 Vol.

Above 103,400 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $60,909.96 Vol.

Above 677,400 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $370,086.34 Vol.

Above 455,000 jobs

Above 457,500 jobs

Above 460,000 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $1,276,182.58 Vol.

Above 83,000 jobs

Above 84,000 jobs

Above 85,000 jobs

Apr 30, 2027 | $71,000.92 Vol.

Above 2.50 billion pounds

Above 2.55 billion pounds

Above 2.60 billion pounds

Apr 30, 2027 | $68,272.50 Vol.

Above 54,600 employees

May 1, 2027 | $35,876.32 Vol.

Above 69,700 jobs

May 10, 2027 | $1,370.84 Vol.

Above 34.5 million room nights

May 21, 2027 | $1,304.00 Vol.

Above $230,000

Above $240,000

Above $245,000

Live odds on Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Order

Odds

Yes 16%No 84%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on December 4 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Trade prediction markets with AI Agents

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

About

Trade Yes and No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How to trade the odds on Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Live odds on Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Prediction Markets Glossary

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

About

Trade Yes and No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds and probabilities for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

How can I trade this prediction market on Public: Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

How do event contracts work for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

When and how will the prediction market resolve for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Can I automate prediction market trading on Public for Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

How to trade the odds on Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Related events

Live odds on Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

Prediction Markets Glossary