Prediction Markets
Economics
Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

Yes87¢87%

No13¢13%

1D1W1MAll

$7,624 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Apr 30, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If BLS reports that New York’s annual-average employment in Financial Investments and Related Activities Including Financial Vehicles for 2026 is above 230,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU36000005552300001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted. The 230.4 thousand threshold is fixed and will not change if the 2025 value is later revised.

Full contract termsView
SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
Est. resolution dateApr 30, 2027
Total event volume$7,624.00
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by April 30, 2027 at 1:59 PM UTC.
1. Aug 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Apr 30, 2027 at 1:59 PM UTCEvent closed
3. May 7, 2027 at 2:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

Yes
Volume$7,624.00
Price87¢
+1.16% today
No
Volume$7,624.00
Price14¢
-7.14% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?. The outcome is Above 230,400 jobs, with an estimated probability of 87% and a Yes contract price of $0.87. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY? is Apr 30, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

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Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

Order

Odds

Yes 87%No 13%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on April 30 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

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Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

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Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?

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