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Economics

Median Big Law starting salary in 2027

Above $230,00098¢98%
Above $240,0002¢2%
Above $245,0001¢1%
$1,304 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $230,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the national median first-year associate base salary reported for the largest law-firm-size category in NALP’s 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey. “Largest law-firm-size category” means the category in NALP’s national firm-size breakdown with the highest minimum number of lawyers. For example, the largest category in the 2025 survey was firms with more than 700 lawyers. If NALP changes its firm-size categories in the 2027 survey, the largest category reported by NALP will be used. Resolution will use base salary only. Bonuses, benefits, summer-associate compensation, clerkship bonuses, total compensation, and inflation adjustments will not be considered. The median reported by NALP will be used without independent recalculation or rounding. Resolution will use the first official NALP publication that reports the applicable 2027 median. Later revisions or corrections will not affect resolution.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$1,304.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above $230,000
    Volume$900.00
    Price100¢
    +2.08% today
  • Above $245,000
    Volume$400.00
    Price9¢
    -75.00% today
  • Above $240,000
    Volume$4.00
    Price9¢
    -66.67% today
  • Above $215,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above $220,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above $225,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above $235,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price15¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above $230,000
    Volume$900.00
    Price9¢
    -50.00% today
  • Above $245,000
    Volume$400.00
    Price100¢
    +3.13% today
  • Above $240,000
    Volume$4.00
    Price98¢
    +4.26% today
  • Above $215,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price6¢
    +3,233.33% today
  • Above $220,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price7¢
    +2,400.00% today
  • Above $225,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price8¢
    +2,400.00% today
  • Above $235,000
    Volume$0.00
    Price94¢
    +11.11% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Median Big Law starting salary in 2027. The leading outcome is Above $230,000, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Median Big Law starting salary in 2027. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 is May 21, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Median Big Law starting salary in 2027

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Median Big Law starting salary in 2027. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Median Big Law starting salary in 2027

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Median Big Law starting salary in 2027

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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