Prediction Markets
Economics
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Yes9¢9%

No91¢91%

1D1W1MAll

$61,852.52 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Feb 23, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes. The relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.

Full contract termsView
SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
Est. resolution dateFeb 23, 2027
Total event volume$61,852.52
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by February 23, 2027 at 1:29 PM UTC.
1. May 6, 2026 at 11:30 PM UTCEvent open
2. Feb 23, 2027 at 1:29 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Mar 2, 2027 at 3:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

Yes
Volume$61,852.52
Price8¢
+28.57% today
No
Volume$61,852.52
Price94¢
-2.15% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?. The outcome is Decline greater than 20%, with an estimated probability of 9% and a Yes contract price of $0.08. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026? is Feb 23, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

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Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Order

Odds

Yes 9%No 91%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on February 23 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

About

Trade Yes and No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How to trade the odds on Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Live odds on Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Prediction Markets Glossary

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

About

Trade Yes and No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds and probabilities for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

How can I trade this prediction market on Public: Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

How do event contracts work for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

When and how will the prediction market resolve for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Can I automate prediction market trading on Public for Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

How to trade the odds on Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Related events

Live odds on Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Prediction Markets Glossary