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Economics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026

At least 2,700,000 passengers88¢88%
At least 1,800,000 passengers——
At least 1,900,000 passengers——
$8 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 23, 2026 is at least 2,700,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for the specified date’s data, subject to the contract’s expiration and contingency provisions.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceTransportation Security Administration
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$8.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • At least 2,700,000 passengers
    Volume$8.00
    Price94¢
    — today
  • At least 1,800,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 1,900,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,000,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,100,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,200,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,300,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,400,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,500,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today
  • At least 2,600,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • At least 2,700,000 passengers
    Volume$8.00
    Price14¢
    — today
  • At least 1,800,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 1,900,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 2,000,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 2,100,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 2,200,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 2,300,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 2,400,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • At least 2,500,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price4¢
    — today
  • At least 2,600,000 passengers
    Volume$0.00
    Price7¢
    — today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026. The leading outcome is At least 2,700,000 passengers, with an estimated probability of 88% and a Yes contract price of $0.94. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026 is Oct 24, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Transportation Security Administration as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026

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TSA passenger screenings on Oct 23, 2026

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Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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Alpha is an experiment brought to you by Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public”). Alpha is an AI research tool powered by GPT-4, a generative large language model. Alpha is experimental technology and may give inaccurate or inappropriate responses. Output from Alpha should not be construed as investment research or recommendations, and should not serve as the basis for any investment decision. All Alpha output is provided “as is.” Public makes no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy, completeness, quality, timeliness, or any other characteristic of such output. Your use of Alpha output is at your sole risk. Please independently evaluate and verify the accuracy of any such output for your own use case.

Market Data.
Quotes and other market data for Public’s product offerings are obtained from third party sources believed to be reliable, but Public makes no representation or warranty regarding the quality, accuracy, timeliness, and/or completeness of this information. Such information is time sensitive and subject to change based on market conditions and other factors. You assume full responsibility for any trading decisions you make based upon the market data provided, and Public is not liable for any loss caused directly or indirectly by your use of such information. Market data is provided solely for informational and/or educational purposes only. It is not intended as a recommendation and does not represent a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any particular security.

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