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Economics

Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?

Yes——
No——
$0 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will use the seasonally adjusted labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54 reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release for series LNS11300060. Settlement is based on the value initially reported for that reference month and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$0.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$0.00
    Price40¢
    -100.00% today
  • No
    Volume$0.00
    Price70¢
    +56.25% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?. The outcome is Above 84.0%, with an estimated probability of 0% and a Yes contract price of $0.40. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027? is Aug 6, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?

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