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Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Above 9.4 million98¢98%
Above 9.6 million72¢72%
Above 9.8 million16¢16%
$80,511.78 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026 are above 9.4 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$80,511.78
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 9.6 million
    Volume$34,487.94
    Price72¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 10.2 million
    Volume$30,778.00
    Price4¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 9.8 million
    Volume$12,614.10
    Price16¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 10.0 million
    Volume$2,435.68
    Price7¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 9.4 million
    Volume$196.06
    Price98¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 9.6 million
    Volume$34,487.94
    Price29¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 10.2 million
    Volume$30,778.00
    Price97¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 9.8 million
    Volume$12,614.10
    Price85¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 10.0 million
    Volume$2,435.68
    Price94¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 9.4 million
    Volume$196.06
    Price3¢
    0.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026. The leading outcome is Above 9.4 million, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $0.98. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026 is Jan 31, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Live odds on Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

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Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.