Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026 are above 9.4 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$80,511.78
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- Above 9.6 millionVolume$34,487.94Price72¢0.00% today
- Above 10.2 millionVolume$30,778.00Price4¢0.00% today
- Above 9.8 millionVolume$12,614.10Price16¢0.00% today
- Above 10.0 millionVolume$2,435.68Price7¢0.00% today
- Above 9.4 millionVolume$196.06Price98¢0.00% today
Trade No contracts
- Above 9.6 millionVolume$34,487.94Price29¢0.00% today
- Above 10.2 millionVolume$30,778.00Price97¢0.00% today
- Above 9.8 millionVolume$12,614.10Price85¢0.00% today
- Above 10.0 millionVolume$2,435.68Price94¢0.00% today
- Above 9.4 millionVolume$196.06Price3¢0.00% today
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Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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