Prediction Markets
Economics
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Above 0%81¢81%

Above 10%75¢75%

Above 20%68¢68%

1D1W1MAll

$2,132.32 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is above 0%, then the market resolves to Yes. “Battery-electric passenger vehicles” refers to vehicles classified under Canadian tariff item 8703.80.00. The measured rate is the standard counter-tariff percentage applicable to non-CUSMA-compliant vehicles, excluding ordinary customs duties, sales taxes, and importer-specific exemptions, remissions or rebates. Settlement uses the rate actually in effect at the specified time, incorporating amendments, suspensions and repeals effective by that time. Announced changes taking effect afterward do not count. If no counter-tariff applies to the defined vehicles at the specified time, the value is 0%. Missing or unavailable source data does not itself establish a 0% rate. For this market, the rate in effect at the specified observation time governs, rather than the first non-preliminary publication. A rate published before issuance remains eligible if it is still in effect at the observation time. No new publication on December 31 is required. Subsequent policy changes do not affect resolution.

Full contract termsView
SourceGovernment of Canada
Est. resolution dateJan 1, 2027
Total event volume$2,132.32
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by January 1, 2027 at 4:59 AM UTC.
1. Sep 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTCEvent open
2. Jan 1, 2027 at 4:59 AM UTCEvent closed
3. Jan 8, 2027 at 5:30 AM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

Above 20%
Volume$906.02
Price70¢
+7.94% today
Above 30%
Volume$666.00
Price49¢
-7.14% today
Above 0%
Volume$316.94
Price86¢
+5.19% today
Above 10%
Volume$202.38
Price82¢
+2.74% today
Above 40%
Volume$30.36
Price26¢
+20.00% today
Above 50%
Volume$10.62
Price11¢
+71.43% today

Trade No contracts

Above 20%
Volume$906.02
Price35¢
-13.51% today
Above 30%
Volume$666.00
Price58¢
+5.17% today
Above 0%
Volume$316.94
Price24¢
-17.39% today
Above 10%
Volume$202.38
Price27¢
-7.41% today
Above 40%
Volume$30.36
Price84¢
-5.00% today
Above 50%
Volume$10.62
Price97¢
-5.38% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026. The leading outcome is Above 0%, with an estimated probability of 81% and a Yes contract price of $0.86. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Government of Canada as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

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Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Order

Odds

Yes 81%No 19%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on January 1 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

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How to trade the odds on Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

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Live odds on Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

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Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

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Related events

Live odds on Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Prediction Markets Glossary