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Economics

Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026

Above 20%85¢85%
Above 40%21¢21%
Above 30%20¢20%
$2,674.32 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin electric trucks as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is above 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. "Electric trucks" means vehicles classified under Canadian tariff item 8704.60.00. The measured value is the standard counter-tariff percentage applicable to non-CUSMA-compliant vehicles, excluding ordinary customs duties, sales taxes and importer-specific exemptions, remissions or rebates. Settlement uses the rate actually in effect at the observation time, including amendments, suspensions and repeals effective by then, rather than the first published rate. A rate published before issuance remains eligible if still in effect. Announced changes effective afterward do not count. If no counter-tariff applies to the defined vehicles, the value is 0%; unavailable data alone does not establish a 0% rate.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceGovernment of Canada
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$2,674.32
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 30%
    Volume$2,026.44
    Price28¢
    -23.08% today
  • Above 40%
    Volume$628.04
    Price26¢
    -4.55% today
  • Above 50%
    Volume$19.80
    Price17¢
    -53.85% today
  • Above 20%
    Volume$0.04
    Price99¢
    -9.57% today
  • Above 0%
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 10%
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 30%
    Volume$2,026.44
    Price78¢
    +8.11% today
  • Above 40%
    Volume$628.04
    Price84¢
    +1.28% today
  • Above 50%
    Volume$19.80
    Price92¢
    +8.05% today
  • Above 20%
    Volume$0.04
    Price11¢
    +150.00% today
  • Above 0%
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    +3,233.33% today
  • Above 10%
    Volume$0.00
    Price6¢
    +2,400.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026. The leading outcome is Above 20%, with an estimated probability of 85% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Government of Canada as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026

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Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026

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