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Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination?

Yes30¢30%
No70¢70%
$666.36 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the first candidate Donald Trump endorses for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination does not win the nomination at the 2028 Republican National Convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Endorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. The first endorsement is Donald Trump's first qualifying endorsement of one or more people for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, made after Issuance and before the Republican Party nominates its presidential candidate. A single statement or ticket that endorses more than one person at the same time, such as a president and a vice president, counts as one first endorsement that names each of them. Later endorsements, and any later withdrawal of the first endorsement, do NOT change which endorsement was first. The Republican nominee refers to the person formally nominated for President at the 2028 Republican National Convention. If the first endorsement names more than one person, the market resolves to Yes only if none of them becomes the Republican nominee. If Donald Trump makes no qualifying endorsement before the nomination, the market resolves to No.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceDonald Trump, Republican National Committee, Reuters, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$666.36
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$666.36
    Price31¢
    +15.38% today
  • No
    Volume$666.36
    Price78¢
    -5.41% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 30% and a Yes contract price of $0.31. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination? is Sep 30, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Donald Trump, Republican National Committee, Reuters, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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