When will a Democrat win a 2028 pledged delegate majority?
These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If the Associated Press delegate count shows any candidate with a majority of the pledged delegates to the 2028 Democratic National Convention before April 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, a majority of the pledged delegates refers to more than half of all pledged delegates to the 2028 Democratic National Convention, as reported by the Associated Press delegate count. Automatic delegates do NOT count toward either number. Only pledged delegates the Associated Press allocates from primary and caucus results count; Associated Press surveys of delegate support and convention roll-call votes do NOT count.
- Full contract termsView
- Sourcethe Associated Press
- Est. resolution date—
- Total event volume$0.00
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2028 | $0 | 17¢ | -100.00% | |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | $0 | 73¢ | -100.00% | |
| Before Jun 1, 2028 | $0 | 47¢ | -100.00% | |
| Before May 1, 2028 | $0 | 30¢ | -100.00% | |
| Before Sep 1, 2028 | $0 | 77¢ | -100.00% |
Trade No contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2028 | $0 | 92¢ | +13.64% | |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | $0 | 36¢ | +212.50% | |
| Before Jun 1, 2028 | $0 | 62¢ | +72.41% | |
| Before May 1, 2028 | $0 | 79¢ | +35.14% | |
| Before Sep 1, 2028 | $0 | 32¢ | +257.14% |
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
How to trade the odds on When will a Democrat win a 2028 pledged delegate majority?
- 1
Create a Public account
Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.
- 2
Fund your account
Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.
- 3
Buy and sell event contracts
Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for When will a Democrat win a 2028 pledged delegate majority?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.
- 4
Manage your portfolio
Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.
Live odds on When will a Democrat win a 2028 pledged delegate majority?
Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.
When will a Democrat win a 2028 pledged delegate majority?
Prediction Markets Glossary
Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.