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Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

New Hampshire88¢88%
Iowa10¢10%
South Carolina6¢6%
$196,534.12 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

Trade Yes contracts

  • New Hampshire
    Volume$69,352.36
    Price87¢
    +2.33% today
  • South Carolina
    Volume$60,861.54
    Price7¢
    0.00% today
  • Iowa
    Volume$57,447.02
    Price11¢
    +25.00% today
  • Nevada
    Volume$8,873.20
    Price1¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • New Hampshire
    Volume$69,352.36
    Price14¢
    -14.29% today
  • South Carolina
    Volume$60,861.54
    Price95¢
    0.00% today
  • Iowa
    Volume$57,447.02
    Price93¢
    -2.17% today
  • Nevada
    Volume$8,873.20
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?. The leading outcome is New Hampshire, with an estimated probability of 88% and a Yes contract price of $0.87. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? is Apr 1, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, ABC News Australia, Axios, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, South China Morning Post, The Guardian, The Information, The New York Times, The Verge, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

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Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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