AOC 2028 run × Mamdani endorsement

If ALL of the following occur: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: does not announce a 2028 presidential run, Zohran Mamdani: endorses Abdul El-Sayed, then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, AOC runs means Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly announces, after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028, that she is running for President of the United States in 2028, including a run for the Democratic nomination. The announcement must come from her or her official campaign. Filing paperwork with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, or saying she is considering a run does not count, and a run for any other office, including the U.S. Senate, does not count. AOC doesn't run means no such announcement occurs before Mar 1, 2028. An announced run counts even if she later withdraws. Mamdani endorses a candidate means Zohran Mamdani makes a clear, public, affirmative statement of support for that candidate in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028, either himself or through his official accounts. Praise without explicit support does not count, including calling a candidate an inspiration, saying a candidate would be great at whatever office they seek, or urging someone to run. A statement that a candidate has or will have his endorsement counts if the only condition attached is that the candidate enter or remain in the race; a statement conditioned on anything else does not. Likes or reposts alone do not count; quote posts with supportive commentary do. If AOC runs, "Mamdani endorses her" requires an endorsement of Ocasio-Cortez at any time before Mar 1, 2028, even if he endorsed someone else first, and "Mamdani doesn't endorse her" requires that he has not endorsed her before Mar 1, 2028. If AOC doesn't run, endorsements of Ocasio-Cortez are disregarded, and only Mamdani's first qualifying endorsement of anyone else counts; the market naming that candidate resolves to Yes. If his first endorsement names more than one listed candidate at once, each of those markets resolves to Yes at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01, where N counts only the listed candidates it names. If he makes no qualifying endorsement of anyone other than Ocasio-Cortez before Mar 1, 2028, "Mamdani endorses no one else" resolves to Yes. In these markets, Ocasio-Cortez is not a candidate for the Zohran Mamdani (ENDORSE) component, so an endorsement of her, including one conditioned only on her entering the race, does not trigger the ENDORSE provision that resolves a "No one" outcome to No upon the first qualifying endorsement of any candidate. If that first endorsement names no listed candidate, every market resolves to No. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (RUN), Zohran Mamdani (ENDORSE).