Prediction Markets
Midterms
Who will AOC endorse?

Who will AOC endorse?

Claire Valdez94¢94%

Darializa Avila Chevalier94¢94%

Rashida Tlaib69¢69%

1D1W1MAll

$99,235.32 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly endorses Claire Valdez in NY-07 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, and policy endorsements without endorsement of the candidate, do not qualify. An endorsement conditioned only on the candidate declaring candidacy for, filing for, entering, or remaining in the race qualifies once the statement is confirmed, whether or not the candidate later does so. An endorsement subject to any other condition does not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.

Full contract termsView
SourceABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Politico EU, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, official campaign announcements from , official social media accounts controlled by , official statements from organizations where holds a leadership position, the Associated Press
Est. resolution date—
Total event volume$99,235.32
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by November 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTC.
1. Jun 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Nov 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Nov 3, 2026 at 3:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

Darializa Avila Chevalier
Volume$54,074.32
Price96¢
+5.62% today
Claire Valdez
Volume$26,256.40
Price96¢
+4.44% today
Connie Chan
Volume$8,080.56
Price9¢
+216.67% today
Ilhan Omar
Volume$4,926.86
Price34¢
+10.00% today
Rashida Tlaib
Volume$3,177.14
Price69¢
+4.55% today
Brad LanderClosed
Donavan McKinney
Volume$55.00
Price59¢
+5.36% today
Dan Osborn
Volume$0.00
Price10¢
-100.00% today

Trade No contracts

Darializa Avila Chevalier
Volume$54,074.32
Price7¢
-45.45% today
Claire Valdez
Volume$26,256.40
Price8¢
-40.00% today
Connie Chan
Volume$8,080.56
Price96¢
-13.83% today
Ilhan Omar
Volume$4,926.86
Price71¢
-4.29% today
Rashida Tlaib
Volume$3,177.14
Price36¢
-8.82% today
Brad LanderClosed
Donavan McKinney
Volume$55.00
Price49¢
-6.82% today
Dan Osborn
Volume$0.00
Price98¢
+6.38% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will AOC endorse?. The leading outcome is Claire Valdez, with an estimated probability of 94% and a Yes contract price of $0.96. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will AOC endorse?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Politico EU, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, official campaign announcements from, official social media accounts controlled by, official statements from organizations where holds a leadership position, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Who will AOC endorse?

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Who will AOC endorse?

Order

Odds

Yes 94%No 6%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

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Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Who will AOC endorse?

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