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Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Denver, CO93¢93%
Las Vegas, NV90¢90%
Detroit, MI18¢18%
$865,396.88 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Denver, CO, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Denver, CO may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Denver, CO Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Denver, CO limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Denver, CO Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Denver, CO Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Denver, CO Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Denver, CO All Waymo vehicles in Denver, CO have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceWaymo
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$865,396.88
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Denver, CO
    Volume$263,701.68
    Price94¢
    -1.06% today
  • Tampa, FLClosed
  • San Diego, CAClosed
  • Detroit, MI
    Volume$68,113.12
    Price18¢
    +28.57% today
  • Sacramento, CA
    Volume$49,686.86
    Price15¢
    0.00% today
  • Washington, DC
    Volume$31,771.42
    Price4¢
    -25.00% today
  • Seattle, WA
    Volume$30,264.36
    Price4¢
    -25.00% today
  • Las Vegas, NV
    Volume$28,827.36
    Price91¢
    0.00% today
  • Portland, OR
    Volume$25,745.68
    Price6¢
    0.00% today
  • Minneapolis, MN
    Volume$20,967.98
    Price4¢
    -25.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Denver, CO
    Volume$263,701.68
    Price8¢
    +16.67% today
  • Tampa, FLClosed
  • San Diego, CAClosed
  • Detroit, MI
    Volume$68,113.12
    Price84¢
    -4.65% today
  • Sacramento, CA
    Volume$49,686.86
    Price86¢
    0.00% today
  • Washington, DC
    Volume$31,771.42
    Price97¢
    +1.04% today
  • Seattle, WA
    Volume$30,264.36
    Price97¢
    +1.04% today
  • Las Vegas, NV
    Volume$28,827.36
    Price10¢
    0.00% today
  • Portland, OR
    Volume$25,745.68
    Price95¢
    0.00% today
  • Minneapolis, MN
    Volume$20,967.98
    Price97¢
    +1.04% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Where will Waymo operate in 2026?. The leading outcome is Denver, CO, with an estimated probability of 93% and a Yes contract price of $0.94. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Where will Waymo operate in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Where will Waymo operate in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Waymo as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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