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Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Essential AI24¢24%
Google12¢12%
Anthropic11¢11%
$7,485.46 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Essential AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceArtificial Analysis, Epoch AI, LiveBench
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$7,485.46
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Essential AI
    Volume$2,736.06
    Price7¢
    +500.00% today
  • Amazon
    Volume$2,443.40
    Price5¢
    -66.67% today
  • Google
    Volume$1,409.66
    Price85¢
    -76.00% today
  • Anthropic
    Volume$449.88
    Price18¢
    -31.25% today
  • xAI
    Volume$213.76
    Price11¢
    -50.00% today
  • OpenAI
    Volume$121.60
    Price17¢
    -35.71% today
  • Meta
    Volume$111.10
    Price8¢
    -80.00% today
  • Alibaba
    Volume$0.00
    Price6¢
    -100.00% today
  • Arcee AI
    Volume$0.00
    Price4¢
    -100.00% today
  • Baidu
    Volume$0.00
    Price4¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Essential AI
    Volume$2,736.06
    Price100¢
    -20.83% today
  • Amazon
    Volume$2,443.40
    Price99¢
    +2.06% today
  • Google
    Volume$1,409.66
    Price100¢
    +76.00% today
  • Anthropic
    Volume$449.88
    Price89¢
    +5.95% today
  • xAI
    Volume$213.76
    Price98¢
    +4.35% today
  • OpenAI
    Volume$121.60
    Price91¢
    +5.81% today
  • Meta
    Volume$111.10
    Price100¢
    +4.21% today
  • Alibaba
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    +3.09% today
  • Arcee AI
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    +2.04% today
  • Baidu
    Volume$0.00
    Price100¢
    +2.04% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Best LLM at the end of the decade?. The leading outcome is Essential AI, with an estimated probability of 24% and a Yes contract price of $0.07. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Best LLM at the end of the decade? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Best LLM at the end of the decade?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Best LLM at the end of the decade? is Dec 31, 2029. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Artificial Analysis, Epoch AI, LiveBench as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Best LLM at the end of the decade? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Best LLM at the end of the decade?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Best LLM at the end of the decade?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Best LLM at the end of the decade?

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Best LLM at the end of the decade?

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