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Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude50.1¢50%
Gemini37.9¢38%
ChatGPT8.3¢8%
$30,592,654.24 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceLM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$30,592,654.24
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Claude
    Volume$6,138,583.68
    Price50¢
    +4.38% today
  • ChatGPT
    Volume$5,827,190.36
    Price8.4¢
    -7.78% today
  • Gemini
    Volume$5,526,828.08
    Price38¢
    -2.82% today
  • Grok
    Volume$4,090,787.44
    Price2.2¢
    -26.67% today
  • Muse
    Volume$3,556,650.86
    Price2.2¢
    +5.00% today
  • Qwen
    Volume$2,198,403.54
    Price0.6¢
    -40.00% today
  • Ernie
    Volume$1,832,444.38
    Price0.2¢
    — today
  • Kimi
    Volume$1,421,765.90
    Price1¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • Claude
    Volume$6,138,583.68
    Price50.1¢
    -4.04% today
  • ChatGPT
    Volume$5,827,190.36
    Price91.7¢
    +0.77% today
  • Gemini
    Volume$5,526,828.08
    Price62.1¢
    +1.80% today
  • Grok
    Volume$4,090,787.44
    Price97.9¢
    +0.82% today
  • Muse
    Volume$3,556,650.86
    Price97.9¢
    -0.10% today
  • Qwen
    Volume$2,198,403.54
    Price99.5¢
    +0.40% today
  • Ernie
    Volume$1,832,444.38
    Price99.9¢
    -0.10% today
  • Kimi
    Volume$1,421,765.90
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Best AI at the end of 2026?. The leading outcome is Claude, with an estimated probability of 50% and a Yes contract price of $0.50. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Best AI at the end of 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Best AI at the end of 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Best AI at the end of 2026? is Dec 31, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Best AI at the end of 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Best AI at the end of 2026?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Best AI at the end of 2026?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Best AI at the end of 2026?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Best AI at the end of 2026?

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Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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