Prediction Markets
Science and Technology
When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Before Feb 1, 202786¢86%

Before Jan 1, 202778¢78%

Before Dec 1, 202649¢49%

1D1W1MAll

$1,529.04 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Full contract termsView
SourceEpoch AI
Est. resolution date—
Total event volume$1,529.04
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by February 1, 2027 at 3:00 PM UTC.
1. Oct 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Feb 1, 2027 at 3:00 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Jul 1, 2027 at 2:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Current players, coaches, and staff of the league, association, or organization(s) governing the event. For college leagues/associations specifically, or where otherwise appropriate (as identified by the Exchange), this applies to current players/coaches/staff of the specific sport in <event> rather than the league/association as a whole (e.g., if the Division I Gonzaga Men’s Basketball Team is playing in <event>, this prohibition will restrict trades by current players/coaches/staff on NCAA Basketball, rather than all current players/coaches/staff in any NCAA sport).
- Paid employees of the league and league participants
- Owners of teams and the league
- and household members and immediate family of all above
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

Before Jan 1, 2027
Volume$1,082.00
Price84¢
-2.50% today
Before Dec 1, 2026
Volume$400.00
Price99¢
-5.77% today
Before Feb 1, 2027
Volume$47.04
Price86¢
+4.88% today
Before Apr 1, 2027
Volume$0.00
Price98¢
-100.00% today
Before Jul 1, 2027
Volume$0.00
Price99¢
-100.00% today

Trade No contracts

Before Jan 1, 2027
Volume$1,082.00
Price25¢
+10.00% today
Before Dec 1, 2026
Volume$400.00
Price99¢
+6.25% today
Before Feb 1, 2027
Volume$47.04
Price22¢
-22.22% today
Before Apr 1, 2027
Volume$0.00
Price11¢
+1,566.67% today
Before Jul 1, 2027
Volume$0.00
Price7¢
+2,400.00% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? . The leading outcome is Before Feb 1, 2027, with an estimated probability of 86% and a Yes contract price of $0.86. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? . On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Epoch AI as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

1
Create a Public account
Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.
2
Fund your account
Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.
3
Buy and sell event contracts
Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? . Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.
4
Manage your portfolio
Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $601.10 Vol.

Above 11.5%

Above 12.3%

Above 15.0%

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $492.00 Vol.

Above 12.1%

Above 13.2%

Above 13.8%

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $1,428.00 Vol.

Above 19.1%

Above 21.8%

Above 26.0%

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $142.00 Vol.

Above 6.1%

Above 6.9%

Above 7.2%

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $550.00 Vol.

Above 13.0%

Above 14.5%

Above 15.1%

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $658.00 Vol.

Above 32.9%

Above 35.1%

Above 35.7%

Oct 25 at 3:59 AM UTC | $1,015.90 Vol.

Above 6.0%

Above 8.6%

Above 11.7%

Oct 25 at 2 PM UTC | $16,744.44 Vol.

Above 59.1%

Above 65.4%

Above 73.0%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $2,805.60 Vol.

Above 71%

Above 76%

Above 74%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $332,317.46 Vol.

Above 18.1%

Above 18.4%

Above 18.7%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $101,455.44 Vol.

Above 1.8%

Above 1.7%

Above 1.9%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $74,393.04 Vol.

Above 180T tokens

Above 188T tokens

Above 186T tokens

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $828.00 Vol.

DeepSeek

Anthropic

OpenAI

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $622,912.90 Vol.

Above 25.5%

Above 26.4%

Above 27.7%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $243,352.06 Vol.

Above 4.8%

Above 5.0%

Above 5.4%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $657,202.42 Vol.

Above 19.0%

Above 19.3%

Above 19.6%

Oct 26 at 3:59 AM UTC | $25,599.20 Vol.

Above 650T tokens

Above 850T tokens

Above 750T tokens

Oct 26 at 2 PM UTC | $714.12 Vol.

Claude

Qwen

MiniMax

Oct 26 at 2 PM UTC | $96,881.18 Vol.

Xiaomi

Alibaba

MiniMax

Oct 26 at 2 PM UTC | $274,441.88 Vol.

Gemini

Claude

Grok

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

Above 11.2%

Above 13.0%

Above 12.0%

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $2.46 Vol.

Above 24.1%

Above 21.9%

Above 23.0%

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $40.00 Vol.

Above 29.9%

Above 42.4%

Above 38.6%

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $9,194.00 Vol.

Above 3.9%

Above 4.6%

Above 7.0%

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $40.00 Vol.

Above 5.1%

Above 8.7%

Above 5.8%

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $2.50 Vol.

Above 13.0%

Above 12.7%

Above 15.0%

Oct 27 at 3:59 AM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

Above 11.8%

Above 12.9%

Above 13.8%

Oct 27 at 2 PM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

Above 68.6%

Above 65.1%

Above 60.0%

Oct 30 at 2 PM UTC | $8.00 Vol.

SpaceXAI

ByteDance

Alibaba

Oct 30 at 2 PM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

Reve

Google

SpaceXAI

Oct 30 at 2 PM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

OpenAI

ElevenLabs

VUI Labs

Oct 30 at 2 PM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

GLM

Nvidia

Xiaomi

Oct 31 at 2 PM UTC | $35,892.02 Vol.

Moonshot

Xiaomi

Alibaba

Oct 31 at 2 PM UTC | $93,826.76 Vol.

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

claude-fable-5.1-max

Oct 31 at 2 PM UTC | $55,601.74 Vol.

Claude

ChatGPT

Gemini

Oct 31 at 2 PM UTC | $1,234,457.56 Vol.

Gemini

Claude

Qwen

Oct 31 at 2 PM UTC | $23,433.60 Vol.

Claude

ChatGPT

Dola

Nov 2 at 3 PM UTC | $21,426.66 Vol.

Xiaomi

Alibaba

Moonshot

Nov 30 at 4:59 AM UTC | $0.00 Vol.

Above 72%

Above 92%

Above 80%

$77,561.16 Vol.

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

$269,482.68 Vol.

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

$723,945.16 Vol.

Before Dec 31, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Before Nov 6, 2026

Dec 31 at 4:59 AM UTC | $881,986.14 Vol.

Before 2027

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $30,592,254.24 Vol.

Claude

Gemini

ChatGPT

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $4,520.66 Vol.

Alibaba

Xiaomi

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $107,793.00 Vol.

At least 60%

At least 65%

At least 75%

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $2,374,833.06 Vol.

Anthropic

OpenAI

DeepSeek

$865,469.82 Vol.

Las Vegas, NV

Detroit, MI

Sacramento, CA

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $6,311.56 Vol.

Anthropic

Google

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $19,129.68 Vol.

Xiaomi

Google

Alibaba

Dec 31 at 3 PM UTC | $27,076.06 Vol.

Live odds on When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Order

Odds

Yes 86%No 14%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Trade prediction markets with AI Agents

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

About

Trade Yes contracts

Trade No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How to trade the odds on When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Live odds on When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Prediction Markets Glossary

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

About

Trade Yes contracts

Trade No contracts

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds and probabilities for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

How can I trade this prediction market on Public: When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

How do event contracts work for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

When and how will the prediction market resolve for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Can I automate prediction market trading on Public for When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

How to trade the odds on When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Create a Public account

Fund your account

Buy and sell event contracts

Manage your portfolio

Related events

Live odds on When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Prediction Markets Glossary