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Economics

US turkey slaughter in November 2026

Above 14 million——
Above 15 million——
Above 16 million——
$0 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 14 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes. The source is USDA NASS's Poultry Slaughter report, table "Poultry Slaughtered, Total Live Weight, and Average Live Weight by Type – United States", Slaughtered section, Turkeys – Total row, for November 2026. This includes young and old turkeys slaughtered under federal inspection. Use the first published estimate for this reporting month, including preliminary data; subsequent revisions are disregarded. Values reported in 1,000 head are divided by 1,000 to obtain millions of turkeys. This measures slaughter, not retail sales or consumption.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceUSDA NASS — Poultry Slaughter
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$0.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Above 14 million
$099¢—
Above 15 million
$099¢—
Above 16 million
$099¢—
Above 17 million
$099¢—
Above 18 million
$099¢—

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Above 14 million
$0100¢+100.00%
Above 15 million
$0100¢+100.00%
Above 16 million
$0100¢+100.00%
Above 17 million
$0100¢+100.00%
Above 18 million
$0100¢+100.00%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for US turkey slaughter in November 2026. The leading outcome is Above 14 million, with an estimated probability of 0% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for US turkey slaughter in November 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for US turkey slaughter in November 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for US turkey slaughter in November 2026 is Dec 23, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using USDA NASS — Poultry Slaughter as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on US turkey slaughter in November 2026

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US turkey slaughter in November 2026

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