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  3. 120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?

120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?

Yes9¢9%
No91¢91%
$8,541.36 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Chuck Schumer is reelected Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress by voice vote, acclamation or without objection before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Election as Senate Democratic leader means election to lead the Senate Democratic Caucus for the 120th Congress, whether the post is styled Democratic Leader or Majority Leader. The count is 1 if the Source Agencies report that Chuck Schumer was elected by voice vote, by acclamation or without objection, and 0 otherwise, including if no such election is held before Jan 1, 2027. An election by unanimous consent counts as an election without objection. The following do NOT count: An election in which senators cast ballots, whether secret or recorded, even if the result is unanimous A ballot followed by a motion to make the result unanimous or to approve Chuck Schumer by acclamation A report that Chuck Schumer was elected unanimously, or without opposition, that does not say the election was by voice vote, acclamation, without objection or by unanimous consent A statement before the election about how it is expected to be held If Source Agencies disagree on the method, a report by any Source Agency that a ballot was cast governs.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourcePolitico, Punchbowl News, Roll Call, Senate Democrats, The Hill, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$8,541.36
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$8,541.36
    Price9¢
    +12.50% today
  • No
    Volume$8,541.36
    Price93¢
    -1.09% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for 120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 9% and a Yes contract price of $0.09. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for 120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for 120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for 120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Politico, Punchbowl News, Roll Call, Senate Democrats, The Hill, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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