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Maine Senate: margin of victory

Susan Collins, 0-2%——
Susan Collins, 2-4%——
Susan Collins, 4-6%——
$0 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourceofficial election authority responsible for certifying results in
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$0.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Susan Collins, 0-2%
    Volume$0.00
    Price16¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, 2-4%
    Volume$0.00
    Price13¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, 4-6%
    Volume$0.00
    Price9¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, 6-8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, ≥8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 0-2%
    Volume$0.00
    Price17¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 2-4%
    Volume$0.00
    Price18¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 4-6%
    Volume$0.00
    Price16¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 6-8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price11¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, ≥8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price12¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • Susan Collins, 0-2%
    Volume$0.00
    Price88¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, 2-4%
    Volume$0.00
    Price91¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, 4-6%
    Volume$0.00
    Price96¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, 6-8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    — today
  • Susan Collins, ≥8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 0-2%
    Volume$0.00
    Price88¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 2-4%
    Volume$0.00
    Price88¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 4-6%
    Volume$0.00
    Price90¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, 6-8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price94¢
    — today
  • Troy Jackson, ≥8%
    Volume$0.00
    Price93¢
    — today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Maine Senate: margin of victory. The leading outcome is Susan Collins, 0-2%, with an estimated probability of 0% and a Yes contract price of $0.16. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Maine Senate: margin of victory by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Maine Senate: margin of victory. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Maine Senate: margin of victory is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using official election authority responsible for certifying results in as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Maine Senate: margin of victory and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Maine Senate: margin of victory

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

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Live odds on Maine Senate: margin of victory

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Maine Senate: margin of victory

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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