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Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?

Yes3¢3%
No97¢97%
$27,861.20 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If John Cornyn publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for James Talarico's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election The endorsement must come directly from John Cornyn or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: John Cornyn states "I endorse James Talarico for U.S. Senate" John Cornyn states "I support James Talarico" with clear reference to the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election John Cornyn states "I'm voting for James Talarico" publicly John Cornyn states "James Talarico has my full support" for the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election John Cornyn appears at campaign events specifically to endorse John Cornyn releases official endorsement through their organization John Cornyn allows their name/image to be used in James Talarico's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that John Cornyn is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement by John Cornyn in the specified race. If no qualifying endorsement of James Talarico occurs before November 3, 2026, this market resolves to No. If James Talarico withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, this market may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange. An endorsement conditioned only on James Talarico declaring candidacy for, filing for, entering, or remaining in this race qualifies when the statement is confirmed. An endorsement subject to any other condition does not qualify. On social media, only verified accounts qualify; likes or retweets alone do not count. A quote tweet with added commentary must meet the endorsement requirements above.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceJohn Cornyn, John Cornyn Senate Office, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$27,861.20
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$27,861.20
    Price5¢
    -25.00% today
  • No
    Volume$27,861.20
    Price97¢
    +1.04% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 3% and a Yes contract price of $0.05. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? is Nov 3, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using John Cornyn, John Cornyn Senate Office, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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